Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118b1149f280938b70323d261c8a53bef7f6e2a0ef8970af0c8b6a3210d06a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 7c | 1,412$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 74c | 1,321$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 27c | 1,268$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 53c | 1,219$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 22c | 1,193$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 75c | 1,133$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 73c | 939$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 827.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 26c | 772$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 26c | 728$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…d78bbacked No | 27c | 718$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed No | 78c | 674$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed No | 75c | 644$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked No | 74c | 627$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 20c | 625$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +233%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 25c | 620$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Yes | 20c | 603$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 25c | 580$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 21c | 572$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked No | 79c | 572$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 25c | 539$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Yes | 73c | 488$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed No | 80c | 438$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked Yes | 26c | 427$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked No | 75c | 412$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 75c | 341$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed Yes | 26c | 335$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 78c | 315$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 72c | 295$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 27c | 287$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed Yes | 28c | 281$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 80c | 257$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 73c | 210$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 75c | 208$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed No | 78c | 204$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed No | 74c | 169$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 27c | 153$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 25c | 153$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed No | 9c | 152.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 12c | 145$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 75c | 142$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…1160backed No | 74c | 121$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 74c | 99.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed Yes | 25c | 91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 75c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked No | 75c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…bee7backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.