Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa77d556e2d6ec91915cee70a9a587f58aaffc0ee28e8239b72f720fd7c149bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 4c | 1,186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 12c | 860$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked Yes | 14c | 683$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 22c | 674$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 11c | 583$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 77c | 562$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 15c | 556$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 78c | 553$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 23c | 524$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 14c | 520$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 14c | 518$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 23c | 421$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 77c | 410$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed Yes | 14c | 408$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 14c | 388$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 12c | 377$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 78c | 372$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 12c | 345$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 23c | 337$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Yes | 14c | 312$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 78c | 307$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed Yes | 22c | 307$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 15c | 290$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 11c | 268$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 22c | 251$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 23c | 237$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…f08abacked Yes | 23c | 225$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 12c | 221$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 79c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.