TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6ee…9238

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$418.77
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.32
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.84
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.1
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.42
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.12
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$332.52
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$527.04
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$199.16
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$529.69
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$56.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$629.14
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$52.67
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$167.04
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$362.1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$102.98
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.49
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$82.75
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.84
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$408.48
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.4
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$110.8
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$113.88
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$119.85
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$516.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$43.9
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.72
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$73.8
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$136.01
Will Sorry, Baby win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$387.9
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$164.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$288.75
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$186.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$155.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$41.5
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$229.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$201.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$223.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.