Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb967258cc32db332de2fe8143034ebf507acfff93cf5e7b195a6c602d21009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Over | 49c | 1,456$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked Over | 31c | 1,196$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed Over | 31c | 1,083$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Over | 31c | 989$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Under | 69c | 933$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Under | 69c | 601$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Under | 69c | 527$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Over | 31c | 496$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Under | 69c | 496$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Under | 51c | 493$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Under | 51c | 465$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Over | 31c | 462$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Under | 69c | 462$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a634backed Over | 31c | 457$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Under | 69c | 457$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed Under | 69c | 388$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Under | 69c | 384$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Over | 31c | 367$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Under | 69c | 367$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked Under | 69c | 337$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Over | 31c | 337$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 294.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked Under | 69c | 285$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Over | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Under | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed Under | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Under | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Under | 69c | 138$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 46c | 79.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…86b0backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.