TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb59f…4a98backed Yes19c2,484$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.83714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes18c1,330$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.03476.4%3 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-69.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…1a48backed No75c1,101$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.232245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes8c1,069$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacdb…d0edbacked Yes12c982.57$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.75160%0 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes14c937.68$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3214528.3%41 W · 104 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9941…7fd9backed Yes37c848$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes11c820.1$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5269634.9%243 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…6e2ebacked No63c735$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e31…454dbacked No71c647.54$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.993650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes20c615$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.63812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ce…3c8ebacked Yes37c572$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877b…f381backed Yes6c536.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00b…fbcabacked No77c516$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf910…7467backed Yes4c500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes23c420$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c418.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.591343.7%5 W · 129 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ba…e6cebacked Yes21c412$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8196…ab69backed Yes32c400.59$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.45532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes16c398$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf37b…b5d6backed Yes5c397.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c22…50e1backed No79c385$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed No70c373.04$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.914100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7775…6cb4backed Yes13c351$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes13c335$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d36…111bbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes28c326.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.312035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…bcf0backed Yes32c306$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked No68c306$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…9ca7backed No63c305$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ab…56e8backed No79c297$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b4…d205backed Yes29c296.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes24c281.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.896833.8%23 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x359a…8844backed Yes21c275.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ee…9238backed Yes13c268$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4f…3b33backed No63c267$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+175.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes17c263.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.651,1366.3%72 W · 1,064 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53db…987abacked No76c260.95$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed Yes10c256.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.432119%4 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-69.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes21c247$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc372…3b5cbacked No78c200$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.24100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb279…5d91backed Yes23c195.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed Yes23c172$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes15c168.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.846930.4%21 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x090c…3c25backed No77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No77c138.39$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd528…ecb7backed Yes45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c80…c2f0backed Yes40c125.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe034…ab44backed Yes12c125.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes19c116.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6796319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f62…e744backed Yes29c102.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.612030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-62.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8433618.5%62 W · 274 L-46.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc773…5e12backed Yes14c92.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No71c89.28$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2310135.6%36 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…6091backed Yes43c80.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38cc…7ceebacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x062f…c0bebacked Yes32c74.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes23c74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed Yes28c72.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.62326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes28c70.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32c3…06c5backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1924035.4%85 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf2a…a91fbacked Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…aaadbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606c…92f8backed Yes31c47.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58fe…a8c5backed No63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0a…1a57backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65e…11ebbacked Yes36c42.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed No71c34.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.091758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477d…55a9backed Yes32c31.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.042871.4%20 W · 8 L+9.7wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+117.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x23eb…c516backed No75c25.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked No78c22.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.892222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b8…59dcbacked No70c19.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e7…7c61backed No71c19.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.42per pick51cpaid+187.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x966b…2ee6backed No64c17.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b5…5124backed No66c15.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.