Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d837be188a2b5e8232bafb0958d5e8e45856587e91e43ccf034320055514e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 0c | 14,956$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…2a7fbacked Yes | 2c | 11,161$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,346$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…a062backed Yes | 0c | 6,173$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…3dc6backed Yes | 2c | 6,132$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed No | 78c | 3,123$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…f6fcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,930$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 11c | 2,765$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…db83backed Yes | 1c | 2,602$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…26aebacked Yes | 2c | 2,336$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdb…d0edbacked Yes | 11c | 2,239$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,218$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,152$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 2,003$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…db9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,659$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,587$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 74c | 1,579$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,386$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…be9abacked Yes | 5c | 1,254$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 42c | 1,135$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.65 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…9d51backed Yes | 5c | 1,108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…9e18backed No | 79c | 1,095$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…eb16backed Yes | 3c | 1,037$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…49f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,010$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…42d9backed No | 64c | 1,010$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…5e12backed Yes | 12c | 898.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…944ebacked Yes | 7c | 887.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 875.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…76b2backed Yes | 4c | 868.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…03c4backed Yes | 2c | 850.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…8677backed Yes | 6c | 821.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 37c | 816.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 7c | 756.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 3c | 750.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 14c | 748.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 16c | 680$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 15c | 610$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 55c | 594.85$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.09 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 2c | 557.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 10c | 514.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…5d91backed Yes | 11c | 493.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745f…d476backed Yes | 3c | 491.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 7c | 468.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…a3c7backed Yes | 26c | 420$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 62c | 411$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 38c | 411$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 5c | 396.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…d093backed Yes | 3c | 388.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 57c | 368$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed No | 77c | 366.5$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 39c | 345$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 44c | 344.39$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed No | 79c | 342.95$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 71c | 335.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 18c | 331$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes | 38c | 329$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 62c | 329$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes | 16c | 328$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…4a98backed No | 32c | 317.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 28c | 300.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…d937backed No | 34c | 289.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…b0a4backed Yes | 16c | 286.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 59c | 265.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…c318backed No | 20c | 264.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…f376backed Yes | 11c | 261.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 7c | 254.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 40c | 247.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…92f8backed Yes | 29c | 242.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…9410backed Yes | 6c | 230.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 75c | 228.66$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 14c | 203.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf12…26bcbacked Yes | 17c | 201.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 38c | 197.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 79c | 192$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed Yes | 61c | 191.05$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4881…a3e1backed Yes | 9c | 176.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 164.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…d278backed No | 41c | 164.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…d282backed Yes | 15c | 161.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…2488backed Yes | 7c | 159.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 30c | 156$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 39c | 154.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…e858backed Yes | 16c | 153.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 43c | 150.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…bae4backed No | 56c | 149.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…3137backed Yes | 44c | 148.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 26c | 146.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked No | 62c | 140.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…7ceebacked No | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 139.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 27c | 128.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x091b…6396backed Yes | 31c | 125.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 24c | 121.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…4fa5backed No | 62c | 112.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 57c | 107.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 40c | 105.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Howard Lutnick be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Mira Nair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Susie Wiles be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.