Us Politics · resolved market
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9079f62c09a17c3e1aa2de4579fea6adde112bfca74822c5abe5a40dfdb7ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacdb…d0edbacked Yes | 10c | 3,718$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.33 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 7c | 1,724$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 11c | 1,244$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 12c | 1,194$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,121$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…5e12backed Yes | 10c | 955.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 13c | 949$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 935.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked No | 67c | 902$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed Yes | 33c | 712$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 67c | 587$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 546.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf910…7467backed Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 19c | 496$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 12c | 477.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 33c | 416$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 13c | 402$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 15c | 378.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 24c | 359.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 67c | 325$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 33c | 325$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…cf7dbacked No | 74c | 306.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed Yes | 33c | 304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 4c | 290.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 79c | 260.52$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 13c | 260$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 23c | 224.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 66c | 211$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 34c | 211$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…e1a0backed No | 79c | 190.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed No | 73c | 187.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 6c | 183.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed Yes | 33c | 182$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes | 12c | 181$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 33c | 159.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 17c | 151.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…522abacked Yes | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 24c | 146.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 19c | 145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 23c | 144.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 144.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…d0d3backed Yes | 10c | 144$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 12c | 143$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 9c | 136.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…39f0backed No | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 17c | 113.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 21c | 109.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 103.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…4fa5backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…3137backed No | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 13c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked No | 60c | 82.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 80.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 80.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 15c | 75.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 57c | 70.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed No | 77c | 67.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0d…336abacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 22c | 58.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -9.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed No | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6c…c594backed No | 68c | 45.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 72c | 41.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…7bebbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 78c | 13.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Howard Lutnick be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Mira Nair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Susie Wiles be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.