World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2595be431aa7837186060f1ed104660465abcd03a15677651cda8cbce9d0e936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked No | 9c | 1,421$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 38c | 1,228$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.46 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 10c | 1,079$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Yes | 10c | 1,074$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 10c | 914$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 4c | 901.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed No | 9c | 880$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +493.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes | 12c | 821$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 54c | 785$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 46c | 785$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 10c | 750$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed No | 10c | 710$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 7c | 684.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed No | 9c | 659$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed Yes | 10c | 650$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 9c | 647$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed No | 9c | 609$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +288.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 11c | 540$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 10c | 528$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 10c | 526$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 10c | 426$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 21c | 388.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.62 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 10c | 387$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed Yes | 13c | 380.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed No | 9c | 362$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +244%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed No | 9c | 324$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 16c | 313.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.15 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 50c | 297.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked No | 9c | 291$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +253.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 9c | 283$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 9c | 274$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Yes | 10c | 262$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 9c | 258$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…99aabacked Yes | 10c | 254$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 9c | 247$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed No | 9c | 207$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8f4bbacked No | 9c | 207$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 44c | 178.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 12c | 172$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 9c | 166$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 10c | 165.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 162.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 17c | 149.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed No | 10c | 145$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…a592backed No | 10c | 143$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 38cpaid | +248.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 11c | 142$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed No | 9c | 132$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +171.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 10c | 125$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 16c | 119.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 10c | 118$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 44c | 116.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 9c | 112$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +211.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 10c | 111$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 17c | 99.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 26c | 92.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 84.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed Yes | 69c | 66.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 65.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 38c | 41.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…a605backed Yes | 46c | 32.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…bd49backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…3191backed No | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +615%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 57% and 58%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?Yes won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 61% and 62%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be greater than 62%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.