World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad87f94639b9f6108ab53ba12c1744935c2d7519e6e92b91debfdd776e89c6cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 30c | 5,959$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.14 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 5c | 2,572$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 17c | 2,040$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 16c | 1,907$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 16c | 1,804$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked No | 12c | 1,741$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 12c | 1,728$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,509$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 13c | 1,437$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 16c | 1,317$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…6512backed No | 79c | 1,293$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,287$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 19c | 1,254$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed Yes | 16c | 1,216$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 79c | 1,199$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed No | 12c | 1,192$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +291.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 80c | 1,186$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 21c | 1,135$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked No | 13c | 1,125$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +394.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Yes | 21c | 1,107$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 13c | 1,034$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 12c | 998$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 16c | 988$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 21c | 984$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 79c | 981$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 79c | 926$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 59c | 918$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked Yes | 16c | 911$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 16c | 910$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 16c | 904$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed No | 35c | 891$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked No | 79c | 851$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 16c | 848$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed Yes | 21c | 836$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked No | 13c | 834$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Yes | 17c | 810$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed Yes | 16c | 798$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 18c | 773$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked No | 13c | 724$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 13c | 716$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 21c | 715$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 16c | 713$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes | 4c | 700.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Yes | 4c | 682.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 13c | 674$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Yes | 16c | 653$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed Yes | 16c | 627$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 21c | 623$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…0d4cbacked Yes | 14c | 621$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 21c | 602$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 18c | 587$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +93%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 55c | 577$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 3c | 566$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…109cbacked Yes | 16c | 563$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 13c | 560$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 12c | 557$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 15c | 534$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +142%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 17c | 524$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 10c | 501$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +186%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed Yes | 6c | 500.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked Yes | 21c | 500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 13c | 497$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 13c | 492$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 12c | 486$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +201.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 12c | 475$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 15c | 475$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 12c | 469.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 13c | 463$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 456.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 13c | 453$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked Yes | 16c | 430$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed Yes | 16c | 427$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed Yes | 17c | 410$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed No | 12c | 408$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 22c | 402$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 13c | 393$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 13c | 387$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +125%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 21c | 382$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 10c | 361$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 12c | 350$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 345$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.22 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 18c | 341$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 7c | 339.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed No | 79c | 337$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Yes | 21c | 337$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed No | 79c | 315$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 11c | 308$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed Yes | 15c | 308$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed Yes | 16c | 305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 79c | 297$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 13c | 291$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed No | 79c | 287$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 21c | 287$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 79c | 285$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed No | 12c | 283$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked Yes | 16c | 277$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 11c | 275$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Yes | 21c | 266$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 252.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 57% and 58%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?Yes won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 61% and 62%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be greater than 62%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.