Music · resolved market
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb9f2082d5a6e94861d563e0dfe65f4b42a159ff632d6581bf8492ff59089ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked No | 73c | 1,792$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…e557backed Yes | 26c | 969.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 27c | 913$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Yes | 27c | 879$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 78c | 528.39$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 197.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 56c | 173.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 36c | 108$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…578fbacked Yes | 22c | 98.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 28c | 85.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 19c | 67.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 74c | 54.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 45.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…9e3abacked Yes | 58c | 43.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked No | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 37c | 35.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 54c | 26.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e7…4aebbacked Yes | 46c | 25.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…9ac8backed No | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…afa1backed Yes | 67c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked No | 59c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.