Movies · resolved market
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b0677f12de966297fb2a879522042addba39552f618afc04263c3a5aa757a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,399 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 79c | 9,580$7,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.97 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed No | 36c | 1,396$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…5783backed No | 18c | 1,356$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 77c | 1,337$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 25c | 1,249$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.93 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,172$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.07 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,100$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 69c | 1,088$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Yes | 74c | 999.94$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked Yes | 61c | 940$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 39c | 870$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 28c | 837$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…6890backed No | 31c | 741$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…c462backed Yes | 73c | 704.14$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…9184backed No | 23c | 704$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 19c | 686$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed No | 40c | 670$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes | 62c | 654$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed Yes | 72c | 637$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 633.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 235 | 30.6%72 W · 163 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked No | 23c | 633$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 79c | 632.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 60c | 627$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed Yes | 66c | 623$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 17c | 613.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked No | 34c | 597$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…7c66backed Yes | 67c | 593.06$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 27c | 566.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 70c | 564.29$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 23c | 546.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 23c | 524.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e4a5backed No | 23c | 504.79$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 74c | 475$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed No | 26c | 442$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 21c | 430$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 77c | 412.49$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked No | 38c | 368$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 31c | 367$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 69c | 364$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 66c | 336$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 34c | 336$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 78c | 329.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 17c | 310.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 20c | 307$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes | 65c | 305$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked No | 35c | 305$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…7f7bbacked Yes | 67c | 302.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751c…da55backed No | 34c | 293.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 28c | 288.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 38c | 286$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…9662backed No | 5c | 261.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…19eebacked No | 72c | 260.14$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Yes | 60c | 232$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 76c | 227.55$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked No | 27c | 222.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 74c | 217$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…0a0bbacked Yes | 80c | 212.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…f82ebacked No | 38c | 202$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…8916backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed No | 40c | 198$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 196.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 33c | 193.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 61c | 185$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 55c | 180.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 68c | 172$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 885 | 33.6%297 W · 588 L | -76.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa316…345ebacked No | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 18c | 165$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 66c | 163$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…1652backed No | 38c | 158$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…83b8backed No | 26c | 154.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…dc55backed No | 29c | 150.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…95adbacked No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…6cdbbacked No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…2184backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…7fdfbacked No | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 70c | 142.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 132.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…fcb3backed Yes | 48c | 130$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…bbfabacked No | 38c | 125.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…103dbacked No | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…9e8fbacked No | 41c | 120.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…6aebbacked No | 33c | 119.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…7a52backed No | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…e6a0backed No | 20c | 118.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…f17cbacked No | 26c | 116.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…b9c9backed No | 35c | 115.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…e0f8backed No | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed No | 18c | 113$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…9844backed No | 24c | 110.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…e3adbacked No | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 77c | 106.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8841…c56cbacked No | 19c | 104.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Yes | 77c | 103.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 66c | 101.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…3b59backed No | 34c | 100.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?this page
- Will "Frankenstein" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars?No won
- Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?No won
- Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?No won
- Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?No won
- Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?No won
- Will "Frankenstein" win no awards at the Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.