Middle East · resolved market
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dcdf8c7557b2914efb0ecd454dab2bf4dc4def4f0e957954f5fb94b44983c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 55c | 26,213$14,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,344.61 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 41c | 19,149$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,309.28 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 37c | 10,706$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 53c | 9,276$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.45 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 50c | 9,100$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 42c | 6,473$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.21 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 69c | 6,193$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.47 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 43c | 4,652$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.06 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 61c | 4,511$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.34 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 75c | 4,502$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.05 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 73c | 3,068$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.94 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 55c | 2,918$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.97 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…9cdebacked Yes | 37c | 2,741$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,511$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 2,509$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.17 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 56c | 2,307$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.27 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 40c | 2,188$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.31 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 33c | 1,838$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,568$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 24c | 1,391$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.34 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 79c | 1,256$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.42 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 63c | 1,169$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.91 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 47c | 1,158$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 34c | 1,157$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Yes | 38c | 1,145$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,096$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.54 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Yes | 36c | 1,061$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked Yes | 37c | 951$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 38c | 945$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed Yes | 38c | 901$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 34c | 898$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.47 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed No | 62c | 842$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 25c | 798.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.24 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…f582backed Yes | 36c | 791$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed No | 62c | 763$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 37c | 740$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…7914backed No | 74c | 710$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed No | 45c | 700$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 42c | 691$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…68fabacked Yes | 8c | 683.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…28a0backed No | 37c | 680.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.51 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…3c8ebacked No | 63c | 670$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 34c | 648$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 63c | 641$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 62c | 636.28$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.95 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…e462backed Yes | 16c | 627.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed No | 62c | 610$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 60c | 604$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked Yes | 40c | 604$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 30c | 594.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…4af7backed No | 73c | 579.79$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked No | 66c | 571$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed Yes | 27c | 565$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 73c | 550$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed No | 79c | 549$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed No | 53c | 547$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 26c | 541$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427e…5ab4backed Yes | 37c | 531$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 65c | 527.95$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 55c | 516.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…088ebacked No | 66c | 490$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed No | 64c | 488$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…815ebacked Yes | 27c | 485$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked No | 53c | 473$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…7763backed Yes | 38c | 472$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…efd5backed No | 62c | 472$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…9621backed No | 22c | 462.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 26cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 64c | 462$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 64c | 459.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 58c | 453$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked No | 64c | 450$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 27c | 448$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked No | 63c | 442$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…4486backed Yes | 69c | 435.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 61cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 29c | 434.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.39 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…8327backed No | 51c | 433.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…3037backed Yes | 42c | 431$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 33c | 430.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 50c | 422.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 26c | 417$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…6828backed No | 54c | 406.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…8cffbacked No | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed Yes | 42c | 399$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed No | 74c | 397$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed No | 59c | 381$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed Yes | 41c | 381$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…36b2backed No | 62c | 379$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…d8f9backed No | 57c | 371.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…77adbacked No | 36c | 360.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 360.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 38c | 356$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0ec1backed No | 62c | 355$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…5d9ebacked Yes | 38c | 355$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked No | 62c | 353$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 62c | 349$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ba…0e6abacked No | 73c | 348$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 66c | 343.71$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.