TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5e7…ebdc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category AI at 61 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.15
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.3
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.72
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$210.56
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$162
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.64
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.12
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$191.2
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$314.64
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.06
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$32.2
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$280.32
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$75.36
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$213.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+100.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$101.79
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$255.9
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+243%+$1,142
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$286
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.45
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$279.62
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$443.84
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$60.55
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$172.04
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$53.72
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$296.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.17
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.52
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.88
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.66
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.49
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$338.56
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$165.6
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$217.56
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+137.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$272.48
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$376.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$273.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$485.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$171
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$135.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$268.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$144.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$450.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.