Movies · resolved market
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f3a9b256cee1f52d7826af32a87ab55d852839aadf0518119e685d4c444c0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes | 11c | 2,183$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 68c | 1,419$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 11c | 877$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 11c | 871$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed No | 68c | 849$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 11c | 809$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 32c | 773$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 32c | 761$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Yes | 32c | 734$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055b…8abdbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 23c | 274.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 77c | 241.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 24c | 184.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 41c | 127$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…99f9backed Yes | 31c | 124.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked No | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 18c | 64.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.