TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6020…99f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: World Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 51 out of 100; worst Movies at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.48
Will "Pressure" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Will "Passenger" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.25
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.24
Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Will "Is God Is" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+371.9%+$95.77
Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$54.17
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.76
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.52
Will "Hokum" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.1
Will "Over Your Dead Body" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$45
Will "Michael" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$39.67
Will "Mother Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.16
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$20.93
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
Will "The Drama" score at least 77 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$12.89
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.