Movies · resolved market
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c03ffa2e979738b7ccce5bae951f8bc76178a2dc206db1808b30b1b71ab77fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,382 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 3c | 1,604$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 267.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 13c | 239.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 47c | 227.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 23c | 222$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…a12fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 74c | 101.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 26c | 64.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…d937backed Yes | 18c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 29c | 54.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…99f9backed Yes | 51c | 36.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f7dcbacked Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 73 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 79 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 82 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.