Movies · resolved market
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe230c760335358f66eda490e256f4936569c0d3aa4f7e421104ef96ee1b65c7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed No | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…8a1fbacked No | 28c | 307.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e5…7087backed No | 14c | 199.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 49c | 125.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 115.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…2e76backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed No | 53c | 73.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 53c | 70.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 79c | 43.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…99f9backed Yes | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…ba75backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked No | 70c | 38.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 45c | 37.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…c967backed No | 52c | 35.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…7946backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Yes | 59c | 19.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.