La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49833df265d5e8e68edc7e6bd7d20ab438ecc44e824b9b0aee4322f391d53906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,862 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 42c | 59,890$25,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,789.02 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 44c | 42,749$18,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,980.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 57c | 39,880$22,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,681.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 58c | 30,475$17,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,620.67 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 19,850$11,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,114 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 11,114$6,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,368.71 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 10,997$6,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,218.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 6,380$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 5,993$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.16 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 44c | 4,245$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.45 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 42c | 2,862$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.72 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 56c | 2,430$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.73 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 43c | 2,006$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…cf5ebacked Under | 65c | 1,649$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Over | 23c | 1,452$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 57c | 1,200$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.05 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 43c | 1,080$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 57c | 1,016$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.57 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 57c | 1,005$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.55 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Over | 38c | 989$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked Over | 23c | 958$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +181.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Under | 62c | 951$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Under | 79c | 932$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 58c | 905$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.9 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Under | 60c | 894$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed Over | 38c | 891$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked Under | 62c | 887$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Under | 62c | 869$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Over | 38c | 857$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Under | 62c | 852$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Over | 38c | 830$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Under | 58c | 821$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Under | 77c | 798$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Under | 71c | 785$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Over | 38c | 783$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Under | 62c | 778$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Over | 42c | 773$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed Under | 58c | 742$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Over | 29c | 729$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Under | 77c | 729$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 37c | 728.47$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.39 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over | 44c | 682.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 57c | 640$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.09 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed Over | 38c | 633$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 57c | 631.58$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Under | 62c | 631$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Under | 70c | 615$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Over | 38c | 614$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Over | 30c | 612$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Over | 38c | 606$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Under | 62c | 596$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Under | 77c | 579$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Over | 38c | 548$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Under | 78c | 535$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed Over | 22c | 535$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Under | 57c | 526.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Over | 21c | 523$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 54c | 509.16$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…19c8backed Under | 62c | 497$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 487.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Over | 38c | 446$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Over | 40c | 442$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed Under | 60c | 442$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Over | 38c | 436$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Under | 62c | 427$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Over | 38c | 426$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Under | 62c | 426$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Under | 77c | 419$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Over | 23c | 419$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Under | 62c | 412$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 72c | 409.03$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Under | 76c | 400$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…0511backed Over | 39c | 397$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Over | 21c | 389$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Over | 21c | 369$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Under | 79c | 369$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…815ebacked Over | 38c | 368$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7e2ebacked Under | 62c | 368$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 43c | 360$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Over | 38c | 357$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Under | 60c | 354.83$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 65c | 354.34$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.93 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 58c | 341.07$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Under | 62c | 334$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Over | 21c | 323$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…b42cbacked Over | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked Over | 21c | 276$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.