TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,945 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over69c66,108$45,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,214.346048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under30c22,260$6,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6781,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under31c7,412$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.2890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c5,687$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.42,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c3,146$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.664,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under30c2,400$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7207353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under30c2,400$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…016dbacked Under49c2,243$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under30c1,308$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over9c1,017$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.529736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under30c902.85$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2322552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under30c833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.920159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under22c829.24$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.173,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24822746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed Under54c790$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e3…dbd4backed Over46c790$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under29c782.36$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.623435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Under54c756$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Over46c756$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb18…2372backed Under54c725$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Under40c618.96$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.124216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac45…1dcfbacked Over46c543$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under30c450$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…34e0backed Over47c439$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…dd5fbacked Under53c439$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over67c402$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Under31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1247534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under30c399.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6789…52f9backed Over49c395$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+133.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b72…cd8ebacked Under51c395$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under30c240$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under30c240$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over71c225.35$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3522357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under30c216$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under29c216$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Under15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cb…933ebacked Over46c182$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under31c178.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under30c170.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3121051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.85137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over71c151.21$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1411066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c147$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.151,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under34c145.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.26847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8538748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over70c136$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Under30c135.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.863225%8 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef8…fb10backed Under31c113.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under30c108$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.414157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under30c108$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.418551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under30c103$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.915747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over54c99.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.134050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under30c96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under30c96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under30c96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.819652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under30c96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.819951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under30c96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under30c96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Under48c93.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.553336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over65c90.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.276752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under31c74.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4216865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over59c69.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under30c69.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8521151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over66c67.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over64c59.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.399161.5%56 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under30c57.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over71c52.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1511855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under30c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.419152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd74a…3fc2backed Under51c46.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over73c44.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1117466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed Under36c41.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under28c37.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under33c36.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.941931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43560%21 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over70c34.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2611855.9%66 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over66c33.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over58c33.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2289050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf12…569cbacked Under36c30.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9860%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.039071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over70c25.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.46922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-62.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0316…2bfdbacked Under49c24.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b14…b151backed Over70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Over58c20.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.672437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66475%48 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb224…fedbbacked Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.