La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c1b322a33ebc9c2a2456691bf77dc16074129ff1aaa86744127a5fbdd6631d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,767 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 26c | 1,157$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.26 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 76c | 849.55$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 66c | 811$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.05 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Over | 24c | 411.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 76c | 388.52$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.13 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 243.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Over | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 25c | 226.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…016dbacked Under | 49c | 205.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 66c | 181.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Under | 76c | 139.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Under | 76c | 139.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Under | 76c | 132.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 62c | 131.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 113.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Over | 24c | 89.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 84.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 64c | 56.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 31c | 50.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 50c | 40.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 40.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…dd8bbacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…f4d9backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.