TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4eee…dd8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$53.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.