Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaacc4c1c9e67bdb6200a25b41ef049c3af24127ce8ab4976af8e4f208b95434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 27c | 6,044$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,737$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…dd1dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,005$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 2,372$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.78 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 1c | 2,123$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…8fb8backed No | 2c | 2,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 2c | 1,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 75c | 1,562$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9111…36a1backed No | 17c | 1,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 20c | 1,488$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 11c | 1,454$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…e846backed No | 25c | 1,351$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…9308backed No | 2c | 1,249$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 5c | 1,090$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 13c | 1,075$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…eb6dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,006$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 8c | 961.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…10c4backed No | 2c | 900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 60c | 808.15$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…0e1cbacked No | 16c | 787.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 53c | 751.24$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 6c | 723.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…4df2backed No | 2c | 670.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 650.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 57c | 611.48$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 40c | 590$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.38 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 25c | 537.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…9864backed Yes | 21c | 531.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 20c | 451.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 35c | 446.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 20c | 426.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed No | 51c | 419.6$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 33c | 400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 37c | 391.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 70c | 356.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 300.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 300$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…43cabacked No | 10c | 295.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 62c | 256.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 65c | 193.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…1b02backed Yes | 74c | 134.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…6ea1backed No | 78c | 129$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 57c | 127.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…dd8bbacked No | 80c | 125.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 64c | 122.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 122.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc05b…c081backed No | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 44c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 107.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 45c | 103.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…8e10backed No | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…c12bbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…cd4bbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…90a3backed No | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 40c | 98.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0219…6833backed Yes | 24c | 94.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 42c | 91.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 31c | 89.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 13c | 80.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…18febacked No | 75c | 77.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…7f6dbacked Yes | 20c | 76.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +396.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 45c | 71.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…02c0backed Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fc…d0fbbacked No | 78c | 66.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…a1a4backed No | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…373ebacked No | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…564cbacked No | 77c | 45.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9d31backed No | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…be79backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…6366backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0827…f47ebacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 75c | 26.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…d398backed Yes | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…f359backed Yes | 62c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…95a7backed No | 62c | 17.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…c641backed Yes | 64c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 42cpaid | +260.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…51c4backed Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f97…ded2backed No | 73c | 15.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9b…fb5fbacked No | 78c | 14.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…be20backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?this page
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.