TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mensikof Mensik, Jodar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Jodar38c46,267$17,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,773.2522037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jodar21c24,517$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,053.482,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…ca34backed Mensik61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.994060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Jodar38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Mensik69c15,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.9610162.4%63 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jodar18c14,809$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.431,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Mensik62c12,634$7,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.374957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Jodar38c12,000$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519.995228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fd…be65backed Jodar0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jodar37c8,896$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.1676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mensik63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.5148851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mensik63c7,500$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.9917823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Mensik62c6,452$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.6110043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb13…8bb4backed Mensik62c6,395$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.421963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Jodar38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2809546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Mensik62c5,724$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.196439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jodar38c5,035$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.732,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Mensik62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jodar21c4,922$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.068,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jodar38c4,645$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.6124448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mensik61c4,526$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.462,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jodar38c4,428$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.0631332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Jodar38c4,197$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.7416340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jodar10c4,098$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.262,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Mensik63c3,569$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.5718237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Mensik62c3,227$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.1159151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jodar24c3,149$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.617,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Jodar38c3,050$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15910541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Mensik62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9918047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cb…820abacked Jodar37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jodar16c2,794$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Jodar38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Mensik62c2,462$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.49264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jodar13c2,254$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.352,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jodar38c2,193$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.271,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Jodar37c2,027$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Mensik68c1,700$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5445444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Mensik62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.95860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a9…35fcbacked Mensik63c1,550$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Jodar25c1,463$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.758446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mensik61c1,212$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.681,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Mensik62c1,155$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.97356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Jodar37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a3…3906backed Jodar19c947.37$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mensik61c925.28$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8615832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Mensik63c899.99$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9917863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Jodar16c869.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2722033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Jodar38c819.93$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Jodar37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Jodar24c807.94$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19524931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Jodar38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Jodar33c759.03$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.991,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Jodar37c673.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Mensik62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.168052.5%42 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Mensik63c639.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7112335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jodar24c637.55$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.619023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Mensik63c623.81$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.811,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Mensik62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2287040%28 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Jodar38c599.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Mensik68c556.01$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.342,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jodar37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Mensik63c518.29$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8137444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Mensik62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Mensik62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9367…7a81backed Mensik63c498.6$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Mensik62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.872948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Mensik62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Mensik71c479.1$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.18964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Mensik65c459.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7659165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Mensik71c448.5$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4889850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mensik62c432$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1618548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jodar22c419$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Mensik62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2326158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Mensik76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4215151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Jodar39c397.6$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6618241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1225…33bfbacked Mensik63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.833053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Mensik62c380.56$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6112154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Jodar39c350$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.59744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mensik80c324.08$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.992,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a7…30abbacked Mensik62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6c…178cbacked Mensik62c321.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Mensik63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jodar6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Mensik62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11410843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Mensik63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11111859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4338…648ebacked Jodar19c280.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Mensik65c257.46$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0971857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Mensik62c255.52$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.135951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jodar37c254$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9825428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Mensik62c248.39$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.399870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73c7…b175backed Mensik62c241.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf1…6eb1backed Jodar10c204.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Mensik62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7632050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Jodar14c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2931819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d8…58b5backed Mensik62c196.94$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.841861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8f…b2f0backed Mensik63c196.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Jodar39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4f…7ecebacked Jodar38c180.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.648159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Mensik61c180.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2415751%80 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jodar24c174.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.773,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.