Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda76adec7747614a403a111d4a73f4550b313344f46c4387b74bffb2985d3066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,533,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,617,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,533,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 32c | 529,444$167,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361,765.69 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 68c | 230,000$157,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,299.97 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Yes | 69c | 204,954$141,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,418.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 69c | 115,942$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 68c | 113,066$76,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,970.14 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 109,000$33,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,210 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 69c | 85,000$58,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,650 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 31c | 83,619$25,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,697.06 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked No | 32c | 79,141$24,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,144.31 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 32c | 62,750$20,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,669.94 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 31c | 61,389$19,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,358.44 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 31c | 56,958$17,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,301.05 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 54,362$37,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,135.53 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 70c | 45,627$31,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,917.02 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 54c | 43,000$23,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,220 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 46c | 39,927$18,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,660.08 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Yes | 68c | 38,461$26,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,153.44 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 30c | 36,815$11,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,592.53 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed No | 32c | 33,333$10,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,666.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 30,504$9,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,557.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.96 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 29,618$13,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,993.86 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 67c | 29,024$19,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,566.52 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 69c | 28,829$19,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,892.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 31c | 26,840$8,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,581.65 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 33c | 26,460$8,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,824.65 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 31c | 24,625$7,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,109.18 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 32c | 21,405$6,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,562.86 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 20,682$6,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,179.02 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.97 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 32c | 18,870$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.6 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 68c | 17,647$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 17,383$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,098.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 38c | 16,199$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.66 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 68c | 14,084$9,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,577.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 31c | 14,058$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 68c | 14,000$9,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,520 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 68c | 12,014$8,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,169.35 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 68c | 11,766$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 10,226$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 19c | 9,797$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 32c | 9,148$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,220.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Yes | 69c | 8,505$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,902.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…19c7backed Yes | 62c | 8,115$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…a4debacked No | 32c | 8,000$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…29cabacked No | 33c | 8,000$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…c755backed Yes | 41c | 7,667$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 61c | 7,505$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 68c | 6,893$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 46c | 6,838$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.49 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 31c | 6,800$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 71c | 6,626$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.54 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 30c | 6,600$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.58 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 68c | 6,465$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.26 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 55c | 6,364$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 69c | 5,815$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…da44backed Yes | 15c | 5,728$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 36c | 5,716$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.27 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 68c | 5,263$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.69 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed No | 31c | 5,081$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 69c | 4,900$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 69c | 4,696$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 68c | 4,680$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.25 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 68c | 4,628$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.3 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6655backed No | 57c | 4,445$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 68c | 4,413$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…536bbacked Yes | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 54c | 4,259$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 72c | 3,832$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.76 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Yes | 31c | 3,722$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.05 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…882dbacked Yes | 68c | 3,721$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 41c | 3,692$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.71 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 70c | 3,560$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 69c | 3,543$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked Yes | 70c | 3,429$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 69c | 3,403$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.92 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 69c | 3,333$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 31c | 3,295$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.84 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 69c | 3,260$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.4 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 68c | 3,249$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 30c | 3,248$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 69c | 3,220$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 33c | 3,192$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.48 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…d7d0backed Yes | 55c | 3,087$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 53c | 3,045$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…2d63backed Yes | 68c | 3,022$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.