Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd2e0c828383005cb292b54bd7daab5f052a30dd00dc759755e586710a7276a

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $244,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $250,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,618 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x827f…7f59backed Yes	16c	15,200$2,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,432	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes	12c	11,400$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,367.98	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	10c	10,126$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.73	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes	12c	8,458$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	11c	7,000$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.99	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	12c	5,929$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.15	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes	12c	5,800$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	12c	5,050$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	12c	5,020$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.06	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Yes	13c	3,593$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.13	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	12c	3,451$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.17	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes	13c	3,078$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31aa…60d4backed Yes	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	6c	3,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.86	162	38.3%62 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.99	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+6.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes	12c	2,472$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.9	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes	13c	2,308$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes	1c	2,300$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes	11c	2,273$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.03	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes	15c	1,800$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	12c	1,783$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.98	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	12c	1,667$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	11c	1,611$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	172	34.9%60 W · 112 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes	12c	1,411$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.32	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes	17c	1,374$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.55	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes	12c	1,300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	159	44.7%71 W · 88 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dde…af75backed Yes	13c	1,123$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes	13c	1,110$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.3	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3187…896dbacked Yes	11c	1,100$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Yes	7c	1,100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes	12c	999.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Yes	9c	964.46$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.8	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	-8.5wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc586…d098backed Yes	16c	937.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed9…c127backed Yes	11c	902.9$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.22	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733e…6190backed Yes	13c	882.54$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bd2…e64dbacked Yes	11c	881.82$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb49…5fbdbacked Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	8c	800$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-5.7wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	10c	713$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	131	32.1%42 W · 89 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	12c	700$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Yes	16c	664.92$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.39	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes	16c	612.5$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Yes	16c	596.25$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x037d…161bbacked Yes	15c	501$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc2…f6b1backed Yes	12c	442.82$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.2wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x59fe…05eabacked Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	139	44.6%62 W · 77 L	-9.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Yes	4c	379.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes	12c	375$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes	12c	345.45$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	322	22.4%72 W · 250 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc9…58b7backed Yes	12c	333$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	12c	303$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.36	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes	11c	271.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	12c	268.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	204	25%51 W · 153 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes	17c	255.56$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	13c	253.85$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf44…b24ebacked Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+11.6wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+73%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes	7c	225$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Yes	16c	225$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8871…5163backed Yes	16c	216.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.34per pick	57cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	13c	215.38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes	13c	214.74$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x221e…7f0fbacked Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes	13c	201.23$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca12…1cc0backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.42per pick	24cpaid	+442.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes	10c	199.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	15c	198.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes	15c	194.44$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.11	96	25%24 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bc…4cc8backed Yes	12c	191.67$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	14c	191.21$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.38	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes	12c	190$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	170	17.6%30 W · 140 L	-27.5wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x328c…c461backed Yes	11c	176.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa365…cd86backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dda…a6e1backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes	12c	161.92$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…2f17backed Yes	13c	161.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes	12c	160$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes	7c	154.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes	15c	150$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Yes	12c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff0d…7f66backed Yes	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-44%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	14c	149.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?this page
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event