TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No67c25,742$17,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,306.856,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes20c25,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0004841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c18,567$14,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,853.311,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c17,660$5,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,868.094,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes37c12,410$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,860.233053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes19c8,460$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,820.475628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed No80c7,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6003850%19 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes62c6,936$4,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.391957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No80c5,808$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,646.5418950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c5,151$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.181,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed No29c3,783$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.047317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c3,730$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.532,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c3,427$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.872,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes73c3,420$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.332055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes20c3,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4002425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes65c2,866$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.464643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes46c2,743$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.058145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x934f…f3b8backed Yes74c2,718$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.14966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00049544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes20c2,008$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No80c2,001$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.4114147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6007448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes71c1,999$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.923655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd638…b011backed Yes78c1,926$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.531764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c1,850$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes59c1,774$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.125052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd8…5c53backed Yes60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes68c1,453$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.072850%14 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes20c1,350$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0807332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Yes33c1,223$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.992548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fa…1780backed No69c1,091$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.581450%7 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes61c1,019$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.4524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes62c963.53$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.533941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a6…f7dfbacked Yes62c923.27$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No54c872.37$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.141,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Yes74c759.97$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.31471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…dc6ebacked Yes25c745.27$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.562240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c729$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.731,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes21c728.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.39043.3%39 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No73c713.7$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52153134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No79c699.99$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes71c699.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.934367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a99…5309backed Yes22c685.86$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef3…93a1backed Yes75c644.46$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed9…c127backed No55c613.62$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.621741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes18c601.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1424146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes24c600.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.829134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed No33c590.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.582846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfa6…c301backed Yes40c586.33$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No65c580.28$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.831,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes21c580.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.2419732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes69c569.57$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.576443.8%28 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.328259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.321752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes69c500.68$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2110751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No40c467.54$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.798853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes24c420$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes45c406.1$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.18655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59fe…05eabacked Yes20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202825%7 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba87…dfa9backed Yes55c398.19$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No43c387.72$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5411…72c0backed Yes32c385.53$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.625042%21 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+64.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dde…af75backed Yes21c357.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.14540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes20c339.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.782437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes79c336$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes63c335.67$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.28742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes61c328.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9919654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c317.32$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.051,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes32c310$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes43c308.7$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Yes41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1772070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes75c295.64$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.531764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No80c286.83$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes20c255$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20436036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes19c254$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.741,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…eadabacked Yes24c253.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked Yes50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes51c249.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.982737%10 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-39.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No6c249.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9916238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes21c243.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.144035%14 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e20…fb92backed Yes35c242.75$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes28c241.1$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6518740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Yes32c208$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.44540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No27c207.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9329041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes60c204.84$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0407…bdd4backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+128.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cd5…b24abacked Yes37c197.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.233161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No80c196.64$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3113829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No60c195$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No36c192.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8525530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.