TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Yes22c15,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.958461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c12,095$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,658.2690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked No46c12,000$5,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,482.29633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes45c9,200$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No75c8,479$6,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.533458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c8,312$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.353,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes19c7,739$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+105.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes45c7,562$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.3930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes25c7,413$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.8512553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No55c4,896$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.2650949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f6…3149backed Yes62c4,822$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c4,289$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.084,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c4,037$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66069142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes44c4,031$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.051,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes12c2,720$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No55c2,715$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.959956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No54c2,583$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked No56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No55c2,455$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.548334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes24c2,222$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.289851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Yes57c2,106$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c2,105$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.821322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d56…21b8backed Yes45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed7…7301backed No55c1,781$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3483…2c80backed No55c1,504$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x193d…9741backed Yes45c1,498$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No45c1,363$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.654344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes46c1,280$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.822335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes45c1,226$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55311333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes45c1,163$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5421641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes51c1,148$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.938075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.769058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes46c1,089$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes7c1,082$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0110629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes19c1,052$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.871338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes45c1,014$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.659640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddef…8bc9backed No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes56c999.37$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.652147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes47c961.45$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.4841147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.095149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes45c857.65$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3865232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked Yes47c852$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No54c800$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36521355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x671d…1548backed Yes46c780$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked No54c763$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes11c732.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.831,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes46c710$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.66346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c709.14$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.112,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes17c705.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe845…f5abbacked Yes46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288d…8705backed No56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No55c659.96$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ea…22d6backed Yes15c656.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes46c651.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7910437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes27c647$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0411947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No55c633.45$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4511751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…c932backed No54c631.54$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes4c627.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1311336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No54c600.42$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c550$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25389050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21aa…d590backed Yes46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes46c532.62$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c523.91$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc2…231dbacked Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c499.34$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.431,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes45c490.02$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c456$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes44c453$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes23c444.63$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3219662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes46c432.61$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6911…296dbacked No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459c…83f0backed No54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c368.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked No55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16134252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes30c313.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.54748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1b…2f88backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c1…7b5cbacked No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2d…0d98backed Yes45c297.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes22c296.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.932653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes18c283.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c263$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2312…8ae7backed Yes44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes6c248.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3718062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes7c246.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7779133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No57c245.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.835042%21 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No44c230$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.826641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked No42c227.2$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.283467.6%23 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes37c226.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.938140.7%33 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc2…b834backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.