TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08e6…5448backed No69c33,441$23,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,074.261020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c13,481$5,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,423.8990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c10,151$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,004.272,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c6,418$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.94,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes31c5,658$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.8550249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c4,772$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.43,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c3,588$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.991,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No69c2,400$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6566240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked No69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3802166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes63c1,821$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed No69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+87.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Yes76c1,392$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.891675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes34c1,351$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.548461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes31c1,305$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.525939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No37c1,164$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.361,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes30c1,011$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.812147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No69c618.37$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.6811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No4c592$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.773225%8 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.822462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34514427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c466.39$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes58c448.48$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.482035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No68c441.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c346.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+126.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No51c291$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4183640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes74c281$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1237039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…b7a7backed Yes36c276.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.07425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No41c269.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3526641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes77c260.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5629038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes78c231.55$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked No22c225$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13822746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes31c187$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.039640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d06…3b3ebacked Yes60c167.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c160.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.461,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes31c153$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5720449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes33c147.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.918932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No57c144.4$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3749057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes38c144.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.515862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes32c142.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2211342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No59c142$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2210143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes30c116$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No70c114$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.84348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa37e…2988backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+243.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1241…c496backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f6…6e3bbacked Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7010834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0660732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No70c82.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.75846.6%27 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes31c80.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.519840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.738075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes32c75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdd…85adbacked No70c74.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No65c73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.093030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No49c68.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.825042%21 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5433734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbc…d333backed Yes31c65.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f0…0e11backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+81.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x201b…9146backed No79c63.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Yes31c61.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.455761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3350…2a76backed No68c61.46$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e8…ba12backed Yes31c61.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee5…d8acbacked Yes31c60.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+55.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes54c50.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.523455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked No69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.57844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked No27c48.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139134.1%31 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.394339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No53c46.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7615444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes48c42.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.083663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c41.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7941323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes78c37.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1335145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed Yes29c37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.097254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cc…06e8backed No70c33.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.67955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Yes31c32.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.572352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked No53c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.412236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3288…13d4backed Yes56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No66c29.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4159555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d25…82a7backed No70c27.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2750%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbd4…0192backed No70c25.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No70c25.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.664562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.252458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No70c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.