TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7eaf…bb0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5961%36 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$43.1
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$856.91
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.77
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$343.23
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.38
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+36%+$68.07
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$440.32
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$223.5
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$742.82
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$96.43
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$247.39
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$126.07
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$100.58
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$460.55
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.37
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$76.25
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$903Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$231.07
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.63
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.03
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.41
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.33
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$518.28
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$892.77
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+101%+$20.84
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+257.1%+$36.72
Will Levante UD vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.4%+$5.17
Levante UD vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.1%+$5.44
Levante UD vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+159%+$30.08
Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+244.1%+$62.42
Will Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.8%+$4.47
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35.24
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.04
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+213.1%+$22.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.79
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$34.53
Will Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.41
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
Will Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.41
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45.33
Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45.61
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+303.4%+$32.34
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.92
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.1
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Kick-off Group Abacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+149.7%+$26.01
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+137.6%+$33.01
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.89
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.03
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+191.1%+$187.76
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+43.6%+$15.79
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Kick-off Group Abacked Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
LoL: French Flair vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.53
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.97
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+109.5%+$33.61
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+64.2%+$11.73
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$39.35
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.46
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$83.63
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.28
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+165.2%+$273.31
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$106.53
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+93.2%+$44.39
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.44
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+76.7%+$58.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$51.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.