NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Magic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fdbf99f3efebc001663ca8c59f21a922b3ba57e6432de627881a1f149603a3d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Wizards, Magic
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,883,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,883,811 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Wizards	11c	227,272$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,999.92	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	16c	51,094$7,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,985.63	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Wizards	10c	48,800$4,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,879.99	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic	74c	40,583$29,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,738.35	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wizards	11c	35,880$3,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,946.8	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Wizards	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Wizards	11c	22,620$2,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,488.2	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards	15c	18,917$2,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840.58	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	9c	18,152$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,639.78	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Wizards	11c	16,551$1,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,883.35	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Wizards	8c	15,648$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.28	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Wizards	11c	15,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards	11c	13,443$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524.28	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	3c	13,269$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.18	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Wizards	10c	12,264$1,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,226.23	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards	11c	11,839$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.25	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	1c	11,544$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.86	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Magic	73c	10,920$7,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,973.38	263	53.6%141 W · 122 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Wizards	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Wizards	10c	9,890$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.83	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards	11c	9,496$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.61	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	8,750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf371…da1abacked Wizards	11c	8,348$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.28	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	34cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	10c	8,100$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.53	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	1c	7,810$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.09	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	10c	7,776$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.3	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	11c	7,477$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.06	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5f…ad2bbacked Wizards	10c	7,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Wizards	10c	6,900$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Wizards	10c	6,603$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	1c	6,389$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.89	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Wizards	11c	6,145$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.81	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76ff…549cbacked Wizards	10c	6,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.98	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+127.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards	10c	5,896$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.58	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Wizards	1c	5,555$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.08	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	8c	5,183$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.15	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Magic	79c	5,034$3,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.66	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e04…991cbacked Wizards	11c	4,969$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	14c	4,911$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.61	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	13c	4,621$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.85	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	12c	4,447$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.28	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Wizards	10c	4,151$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.83	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Wizards	10c	4,111$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	5c	4,056$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	9c	4,017$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.66	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards	11c	3,682$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.02	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Wizards	11c	3,637$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wizards	25c	3,610$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.09	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Wizards	10c	3,561$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Wizards	8c	3,500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe942…f7adbacked Wizards	10c	3,416$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.6	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Wizards	10c	3,300$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.35	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards	4c	3,095$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Magic	72c	3,078$2,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.03	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Wizards	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.95	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa31…924fbacked Wizards	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.98	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57c7…b2cabacked Wizards	11c	2,929$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.92	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Wizards	15c	2,904$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.23	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards	1c	2,874$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wizards	11c	2,843$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.78	226	37.2%84 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Wizards	15c	2,812$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Wizards	12c	2,786$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.48	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd3…9fd4backed Wizards	10c	2,727$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.7	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8783…d718backed Wizards	1c	2,614$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	8c	2,581$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.04	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	23c	2,526$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.48	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Wizards	8c	2,426$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.64	146	34.9%51 W · 95 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards	1c	2,298$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Magic	67c	2,270$1,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.03	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Wizards	12c	2,268$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.9	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards	2c	2,262$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.79	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Wizards	0c	2,250$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	123	4.9%6 W · 117 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Wizards	8c	2,200$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wizards	2c	2,128$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.55	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb27…b605backed Magic	73c	2,099$1,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.52	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Wizards	9c	2,004$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.8	131	28.2%37 W · 94 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wizards	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9385…4005backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.59	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…6543backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Wizards	11c	1,981$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.84	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards	10c	1,972$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.2	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Magic	75c	1,949$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.08	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards	1c	1,897$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Wizards	10c	1,809$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.89	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Wizards	28c	1,765$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	206	51.5%106 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Magic	75c	1,717$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.58	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027a…f23abacked Wizards	11c	1,596$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.56	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	36cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Magic	64c	1,569$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.28	214	50%107 W · 107 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Wizards	14c	1,526$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.48	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x108b…ecdabacked Wizards	9c	1,502$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.2	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Wizards	9c	1,461$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.39	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Magic	67c	1,459$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.46	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Wizards	10c	1,376$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.7	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	7c	1,314$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.75	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Wizards	23c	1,311$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards	12c	1,260$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8076…85f9backed Wizards	11c	1,255$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	161	25.5%41 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Magicthis page
1H Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
Spread: Magic (-12.5)Wizards won
Spread: Magic (-13.5)Wizards won
Spread: Magic (-14.5)Wizards won
Spread: Magic (-15.5)Wizards won
Spread: Magic (-16.5)Wizards won
Spread: Magic (-17.5)Wizards won
Spread: Magic (-18.5)Wizards won
Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Trae Young: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Magic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event