NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x824681cadbf3a13148615a13b0fcfd12fde248d17c4f4fd829af829f0c7ba31f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,379 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 16,708$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.76 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 54c | 13,883$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,386.69 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 8,562$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 4,657$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 54c | 3,693$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.11 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 61c | 3,269$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.59 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 3,216$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.04 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 3,058$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.32 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 54c | 2,736$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.7 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 35c | 2,238$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d7…5f21backed Under | 45c | 2,152$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 42c | 2,130$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.89 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…4e6ebacked Over | 55c | 2,102$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…da87backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…ca26backed Under | 45c | 1,988$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…fafbbacked Under | 45c | 1,966$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…7e8cbacked Over | 55c | 1,950$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…aec0backed Under | 45c | 1,940$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…044fbacked Under | 45c | 1,846$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…55ecbacked Under | 45c | 1,836$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…f2e4backed Over | 55c | 1,823$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…7af7backed Under | 45c | 1,822$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…6f2fbacked Under | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…6a0ebacked Over | 55c | 1,656$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e5…4752backed Over | 55c | 1,602$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…ba32backed Over | 55c | 1,525$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…c6bcbacked Under | 45c | 1,514$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 49c | 1,483$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.67 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…025fbacked Over | 55c | 1,122$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bde…09b0backed Over | 55c | 1,088$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…7e59backed Over | 55c | 1,049$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ceb…d2f2backed Over | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…0a19backed Over | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…2292backed Over | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…a3d2backed Over | 55c | 1,023$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…bd8ebacked Over | 55c | 1,011$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 51c | 884.22$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.84 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 47c | 833.51$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.26 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 810.66$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 45c | 796.74$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.06 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 700.2$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 672.84$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 54c | 636$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 46c | 636$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 630.48$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.32 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 629.51$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 55c | 616.51$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.43 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 46c | 579.65$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 61c | 541.55$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 57c | 526.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.65 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 39c | 461.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.75 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 39c | 456.83$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa950…d92ebacked Under | 40c | 455$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 43c | 436.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 400.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 39c | 397.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 38c | 382.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 42c | 382.01$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 370.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 53c | 356$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 253.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 37c | 253.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…2ba7backed Under | 45c | 170$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 62c | 154$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…eb62backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 51c | 143.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 42c | 143.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 134$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 129$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 62c | 120.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 53c | 104.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 100.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 32c | 99.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Under | 52c | 96.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -14.1wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 95.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 61c | 94.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 57c | 88.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 58c | 86.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 60c | 82.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 45c | 80.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 43c | 79.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 76.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…fb27backed Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 48c | 73.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 59c | 71.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 62c | 70.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc1…3be4backed Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Under | 44c | 67.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 54c | 60.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…7b62backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…255ebacked Over | 56c | 53.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 57c | 52.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 53c | 52.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 53c | 51.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 45c | 51.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. MagicMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.