NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6445eb3df4525e980d374d2abcc137e19b634bf70c3f86cc96ffad045617eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,351 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Wizards | 50c | 103,406$51,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,736.82 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 50c | 29,576$14,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,787.91 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Magic | 50c | 17,546$8,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,773 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Magic | 50c | 16,509$8,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,254.33 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Wizards | 50c | 15,000$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,502.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 49c | 13,469$6,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.68 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 51c | 12,044$6,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,087.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 50c | 10,004$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.53 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wizards | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…c764backed Magic | 50c | 9,616$4,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Magic | 50c | 9,471$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,736 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 50c | 8,704$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wizards | 50c | 8,003$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.9 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…fa92backed Magic | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 51c | 7,658$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…efd3backed Magic | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 51c | 5,733$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.85 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 51c | 5,375$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Magic | 50c | 4,896$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 4,287$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Magic | 51c | 3,947$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.83 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Magic | 52c | 2,791$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.07 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…5fd6backed Wizards | 45c | 2,452$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 52c | 2,417$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…edadbacked Wizards | 45c | 2,366$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards | 50c | 2,302$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.13 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…aec0backed Magic | 55c | 2,158$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…788fbacked Wizards | 45c | 2,155$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…4e6ebacked Wizards | 45c | 2,127$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…6a0ebacked Magic | 55c | 2,067$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…7af7backed Magic | 55c | 2,026$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Wizards | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.92 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…2928backed Wizards | 50c | 1,997$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Magic | 50c | 1,992$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.87 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Magic | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…1832backed Magic | 55c | 1,956$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…f2e4backed Magic | 55c | 1,953$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…7e8cbacked Wizards | 45c | 1,953$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…6f2fbacked Magic | 55c | 1,894$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…f9b9backed Magic | 55c | 1,699$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…044fbacked Wizards | 45c | 1,686$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…537bbacked Magic | 55c | 1,675$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…5ee8backed Magic | 55c | 1,666$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e5…4752backed Wizards | 45c | 1,608$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…b346backed Wizards | 45c | 1,608$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Magic | 51c | 1,605$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.19 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020d…b81fbacked Magic | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 51c | 1,580$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.11 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…8899backed Magic | 55c | 1,566$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…ba32backed Wizards | 45c | 1,549$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 50c | 1,525$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Wizards | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…4324backed Wizards | 45c | 1,436$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…55ecbacked Wizards | 45c | 1,432$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 53c | 1,395$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.66 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 50c | 1,297$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Magic | 49c | 1,274$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.38 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 50c | 1,048$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 57c | 1,040$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.1 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Magic | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.99 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Magic | 65c | 696.43$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.17 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 49c | 607.27$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.13 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Magic | 51c | 600$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic | 52c | 596.37$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 51c | 577.42$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 50c | 500$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Magic | 51c | 477.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.29 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Magic | 65c | 457.89$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.51 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 49c | 456.84$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Magic | 51c | 392.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Magic | 50c | 375.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Magic | 50c | 326.14$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Magic | 51c | 308.12$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 50c | 305.02$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.51 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Magic | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Magic | 51c | 297.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Magic | 52c | 276.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…c6bcbacked Magic | 55c | 257$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 49c | 254$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 53c | 253.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Magic | 57c | 244.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed Magic | 53c | 218.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…4216backed Wizards | 47c | 211.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Magic | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Magic | 50c | 199.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Magic | 48c | 196.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Magic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…78abbacked Wizards | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45bf…c932backed Wizards | 48c | 167$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 52c | 147.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 49c | 147.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…bf56backed Wizards | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Magic | 51c | 144.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…415abacked Magic | 51c | 141.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Wizards | 50c | 130.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Magic | 61c | 122.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. MagicMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.