NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a740f325e492a77ff115ac1f1efe3f3cdbe1516c2d67cf59fdc4bf68c924b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,936 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 43c | 21,420$9,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,232.09 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 56c | 8,566$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.99 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 5,909$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd6…6bf1backed Under | 50c | 4,822$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…a83abacked Over | 50c | 4,722$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f09…0340backed Under | 50c | 4,655$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3083…d99fbacked Under | 50c | 4,588$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…2531backed Over | 50c | 4,523$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 4,392$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 4,274$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.37 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 3,858$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.3 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…125ebacked Over | 50c | 3,655$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 57c | 3,535$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.58 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…2e9abacked Over | 50c | 3,454$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…c511backed Under | 50c | 3,255$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…afe9backed Over | 50c | 3,255$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…2b90backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…965dbacked Over | 50c | 2,932$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…c739backed Under | 49c | 2,786$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…2597backed Over | 51c | 2,758$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…5372backed Over | 51c | 2,613$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…d2c2backed Under | 49c | 2,585$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,493$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…09f2backed Over | 51c | 2,477$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 2,435$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…44e8backed Over | 52c | 2,423$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…8a32backed Under | 49c | 2,412$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f0cfbacked Over | 52c | 2,333$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.03 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…dd33backed Under | 48c | 2,122$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…6872backed Under | 49c | 2,036$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…41e0backed Under | 50c | 2,021$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…62fbbacked Over | 51c | 2,001$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…edf0backed Under | 48c | 1,955$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…0a8cbacked Over | 52c | 1,936$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…ad48backed Over | 51c | 1,902$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…c69abacked Under | 49c | 1,854$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4250…0ddcbacked Under | 49c | 1,825$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…13b8backed Under | 49c | 1,823$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…06f6backed Over | 51c | 1,702$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…0c55backed Under | 48c | 1,652$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…5cacbacked Under | 48c | 1,636$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…af17backed Over | 51c | 1,602$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 1,546$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…8526backed Over | 52c | 1,522$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…30fdbacked Under | 48c | 1,422$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…881fbacked Over | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 1,381$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…6648backed Over | 52c | 1,366$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…69afbacked Under | 48c | 1,302$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 31c | 1,272$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 53c | 1,194$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.84 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5786…60f7backed Under | 49c | 1,156$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 855.73$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.31 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 819.28$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 784.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.7 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 725.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.62 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 46c | 630.77$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.95 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 48c | 594.86$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 50c | 530.13$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 6c | 511.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…b052backed Over | 52c | 509$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 411.88$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 48c | 390.58$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 373.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Under | 4c | 265.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 61c | 212.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 56c | 180.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 41c | 178$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…5f4dbacked Under | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 56c | 137.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 49c | 81.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Under | 44c | 65.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 64.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 53c | 60.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…7502backed Over | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 47.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 46c | 43.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Under | 47c | 42.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 57c | 39.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cf…5033backed Over | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked Over | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. MagicMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.