NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf487e80a7f7768baca40829337c2fae65946feb51827663dfaf3b378ce88b139
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,496 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 48c | 326,476$156,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,671.31 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 52c | 180,396$93,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,590.32 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 52c | 106,912$55,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,317.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 52c | 85,242$44,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,588.3 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 48c | 75,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.97 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 51c | 19,455$9,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,541.82 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wizards | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Magic | 47c | 7,424$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 49c | 6,518$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…0918backed Wizards | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 51c | 6,113$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Wizards | 64c | 5,163$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.58 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wizards | 51c | 5,000$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,854$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.41 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 51c | 3,721$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.73 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Wizards | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…f65fbacked Magic | 54c | 3,255$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebd…e0d6backed Magic | 48c | 3,067$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 52c | 2,700$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…1378backed Magic | 48c | 2,666$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…5699backed Wizards | 46c | 2,655$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…e60dbacked Magic | 54c | 2,544$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…d57fbacked Wizards | 52c | 2,466$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…ab87backed Wizards | 46c | 2,423$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Magic | 50c | 2,407$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.17 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Magic | 47c | 2,354$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x541a…5e45backed Wizards | 52c | 2,323$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…1244backed Wizards | 49c | 2,255$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…a4d6backed Magic | 48c | 2,223$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5604…4896backed Wizards | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb2…490ebacked Magic | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…9b7ebacked Magic | 51c | 2,185$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Magic | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…fa92backed Magic | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…5992backed Magic | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 53c | 2,094$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.25 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 40c | 2,062$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.82 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f864backed Magic | 51c | 2,048$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bd…5a6fbacked Magic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…3163backed Magic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…4d51backed Wizards | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…c4d4backed Wizards | 46c | 1,999$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a4…5e5abacked Wizards | 49c | 1,999$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…c28ebacked Magic | 51c | 1,997$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Magic | 48c | 1,989$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.93 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…6671backed Wizards | 52c | 1,966$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Magic | 52c | 1,929$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.32 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8de…7f99backed Magic | 51c | 1,890$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5db…ace4backed Wizards | 49c | 1,888$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…23abbacked Magic | 54c | 1,866$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd315…762bbacked Wizards | 46c | 1,866$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c88dbacked Magic | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Magic | 47c | 1,854$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.61 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…cb15backed Wizards | 52c | 1,816$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3812…966ebacked Wizards | 49c | 1,814$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…e8b1backed Wizards | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…53a8backed Magic | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…2f88backed Magic | 48c | 1,799$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…c1b5backed Magic | 48c | 1,788$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…8dfebacked Magic | 48c | 1,756$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309e…9a86backed Wizards | 52c | 1,739$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…d638backed Wizards | 52c | 1,723$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…d09fbacked Magic | 51c | 1,688$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…2877backed Magic | 48c | 1,688$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…e49fbacked Magic | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…06d9backed Wizards | 49c | 1,666$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…17b7backed Magic | 51c | 1,659$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 50c | 1,650$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.61 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d3…4c49backed Magic | 51c | 1,599$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4525…f10cbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,588$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…e97dbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,588$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2520…7a0ebacked Wizards | 49c | 1,588$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa531…75babacked Wizards | 46c | 1,566$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…daf1backed Magic | 51c | 1,566$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…6028backed Wizards | 49c | 1,522$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…8db0backed Magic | 51c | 1,511$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Wizards | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Wizards | 54c | 1,500$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.64 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…e9c3backed Wizards | 49c | 1,488$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…1d10backed Wizards | 49c | 1,463$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…252ebacked Wizards | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…7fcdbacked Magic | 51c | 1,401$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…37e1backed Magic | 54c | 1,394$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Magic | 47c | 1,342$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.72 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3038…da8cbacked Magic | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Magic | 48c | 1,177$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.63 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b31…6d9dbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…5eeabacked Wizards | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…7848backed Wizards | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…08a9backed Wizards | 52c | 1,046$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…b65cbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…239ebacked Wizards | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…7ee2backed Wizards | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Magic | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 48c | 949.26$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Magic | 46c | 943.6$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.66 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 47c | 941.97$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. MagicMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.