NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99390777e72c68692deb6287dcb84468e9973bf14b356edb55fcf8240b2513b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,986 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Wizards | 53c | 44,952$23,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,145.08 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…ae3abacked Magic | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Magic | 44c | 11,460$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,042.25 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Wizards | 51c | 11,029$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.17 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Magic | 47c | 10,002$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.94 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 47c | 9,712$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 55c | 9,651$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Wizards | 51c | 9,318$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.79 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 49c | 7,925$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.77 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 48c | 6,785$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.56 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 48c | 4,846$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 47c | 4,831$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.51 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Magic | 49c | 2,757$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 53c | 2,566$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Magic | 47c | 2,507$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.1 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 47c | 2,454$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Magic | 47c | 2,300$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Magic | 49c | 2,269$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 47c | 2,213$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Magic | 47c | 2,021$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 46c | 1,951$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Magic | 45c | 1,370$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.73 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 54c | 1,300$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Magic | 46c | 1,168$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.28 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 48c | 1,021$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Magic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Wizards | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Wizards | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 51c | 938.36$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 47c | 930.06$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 47c | 903$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.41 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Wizards | 58c | 862.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.55 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Wizards | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Magic | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Magic | 49c | 530$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.15 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Magic | 50c | 426.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 57c | 418.04$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.11 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Magic | 47c | 413.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 47c | 394.31$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Magic | 45c | 356.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Magic | 45c | 355.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Magic | 45c | 346.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…2964backed Magic | 44c | 329.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Magic | 44c | 319.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Magic | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Magic | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Magic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 51c | 221.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Magic | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Magic | 45c | 213$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…5e84backed Magic | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Magic | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Wizards | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 55c | 176.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Wizards | 57c | 176.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…cca5backed Magic | 46c | 164$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Magic | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…0344backed Magic | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…e414backed Magic | 45c | 140.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…ac78backed Magic | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Magic | 53c | 129$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Wizards | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Magic | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Magic | 44c | 113.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Magic | 49c | 112.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Magic | 49c | 101.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Magic | 49c | 100.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Magic | 45c | 95.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Magic | 47c | 93.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Magic | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Wizards | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Magic | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Magic | 45c | 88.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Magic | 46c | 85.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Magic | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Magic | 48c | 71.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Magic | 46c | 70.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Magic | 48c | 70.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Wizards | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…3a17backed Wizards | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…1aeebacked Wizards | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Magic | 46c | 66.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…f70abacked Wizards | 56c | 65.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Wizards | 55c | 62.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Magic | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Magic | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Wizards | 52c | 56.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Magic | 45c | 55.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Magic | 46c | 49.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…6a7fbacked Wizards | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Magic | 47c | 46.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Magic | 48c | 43.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wizards | 46c | 42.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Magic | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Magic | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Magic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wizards | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Wizards | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. MagicMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.