Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf0742b85e3fd16a60e6bf3499ca84a6d9367bd440e5d0583ed001a5918a5ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 77c | 32,561$25,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.47 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Yes | 61c | 27,823$17,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,030.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +197.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes | 13c | 21,476$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 17c | 14,415$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.78 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…b319backed Yes | 9c | 14,325$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.26 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 14c | 14,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.95 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 79c | 13,539$10,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 26c | 10,999$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.42 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,895$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 9,534$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed No | 71c | 7,724$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 5c | 7,656$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.1 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…2de9backed Yes | 3c | 7,144$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7496…3962backed Yes | 12c | 6,751$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…e04bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,994$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 21c | 5,962$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.81 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 54c | 4,800$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 21c | 4,538$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.92 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 1c | 4,219$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 3,977$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.11 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 3c | 3,977$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 24c | 3,963$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.85 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,204$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7408backed Yes | 32c | 3,110$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 16c | 3,076$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.43 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 27c | 2,870$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.66 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,799$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.21 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…fa4abacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…4bc7backed Yes | 17c | 2,450$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…cbcabacked Yes | 5c | 2,270$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…ee7fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,079$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 14c | 2,004$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.41 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 65c | 1,891$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.86 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,667$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,582$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…e025backed Yes | 61c | 1,575$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,373$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…6d74backed Yes | 15c | 1,337$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…df30backed Yes | 36c | 1,292$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…e803backed Yes | 17c | 1,193$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,188$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed Yes | 2c | 1,169$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…bd72backed Yes | 11c | 1,134$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 1,091$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,041$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 1,001$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 906.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…e751backed Yes | 21c | 824.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…eaaebacked Yes | 20c | 780.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 742.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 17c | 694.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…9804backed Yes | 13c | 678.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…f696backed Yes | 3c | 646.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…d197backed Yes | 7c | 613.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 17cpaid | +539.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 70c | 609.8$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.84 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…fc58backed Yes | 8c | 599.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…769ebacked Yes | 3c | 569.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 76c | 528.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 14c | 466$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…b5d8backed Yes | 20c | 455$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Yes | 38c | 448.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…54f2backed Yes | 24c | 414.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…afddbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Yes | 26c | 392.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Yes | 50c | 366.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c41…3ec8backed Yes | 16c | 363.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…c29bbacked Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 50c | 325$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…fd96backed Yes | 25c | 306.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes | 16c | 300.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 73c | 299.89$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c238backed Yes | 5c | 296.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…e528backed Yes | 11c | 291.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…e294backed Yes | 10c | 277.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f0…1855backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 7c | 255.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yes | 9c | 245.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 8c | 239.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…e0f4backed Yes | 21c | 239.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…8059backed Yes | 27c | 221.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Yes | 17c | 202.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes | 21c | 182$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…52c2backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…3e66backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…8971backed Yes | 29c | 166$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc956…b74dbacked Yes | 15c | 155.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…4e2fbacked Yes | 8c | 146.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…7fe8backed Yes | 24c | 136.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed No | 75c | 134.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 75c | 134.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…ca8bbacked Yes | 13c | 124.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 22-28?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 22-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.