TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x936f…7f75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST5350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$182.43
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs NAVI Junior - Game 2 Winnerbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.5%+$26.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+48.2%+$19.77
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.5%+$11.89
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.1%+$19.78
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+178.2%+$62.37
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.92
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65.08
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+52.2%+$38.24
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.31
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.2%+$48.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.83
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+123.7%+$123.85
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32.55
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+138.1%+$42
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FORZE Reload (BO3)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+40.3%+$44.19
Counter-Strike: Team magixx vs Team m3wsu (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+56.2%+$36
Counter-Strike: Wildcard Academy vs Tricked (BO3)backed Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+42.1%+$56.77
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+131.5%+$665.43
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$796.1
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+30.4%+$300.77
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.7
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$182
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+107.3%+$33.15
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.7%+$74.61
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+72.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+30.1%+$37
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Drake Bulldogs vs. Evansville Acesbacked Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.4%+$41.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.5%+$58.04
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$23.05
Saints vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.3%+$79.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+27.8%+$58.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco vs. Tanzania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.