Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c30e449c9221005468d90535f312ce9776a06e4d4e2b311f11ac37069808236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 68c | 22,771$15,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,179.41 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 32c | 11,273$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.12 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed GamerLegion | 31c | 9,470$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.7 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 4,753$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.75 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed GamerLegion | 28c | 4,735$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.16 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 12c | 2,991$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.05 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed GamerLegion | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 18c | 2,106$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.91 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,583$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.92 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,577$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.66 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 25c | 1,577$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed GamerLegion | 36c | 1,124$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed GamerLegion | 23c | 869.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3627…fc8ebacked GamerLegion | 13c | 810.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Liquid | 67c | 779.81$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.34 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Liquid | 65c | 714.29$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 68c | 530$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Liquid | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed GamerLegion | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 74c | 345$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion | 4c | 318.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed GamerLegion | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed GamerLegion | 25c | 197.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 192.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed GamerLegion | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed GamerLegion | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed GamerLegion | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed GamerLegion | 13c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 106.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Team Liquid | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 81.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…f3cfbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed GamerLegion | 22c | 55.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed GamerLegion | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed GamerLegion | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Liquid | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff4…9a30backed GamerLegion | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Liquid | 80c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Team Liquid | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…7d48backed Team Liquid | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Team Liquid | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…a861backed Team Liquid | 80c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-InTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.