TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid65c25,314$16,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,814.842650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid63c17,398$10,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,441.8355157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion36c11,999$4,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.241,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked GamerLegion39c9,222$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,641.329245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid64c7,002$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.0939660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed GamerLegion37c6,884$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.720949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion35c6,855$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.261,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed GamerLegion35c5,800$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed GamerLegion39c5,186$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00054445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion34c5,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.851,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid66c4,431$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.6534468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion34c4,000$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.891,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid65c2,417$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.4547660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Liquid65c2,023$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.199750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked GamerLegion35c1,589$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9916248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed GamerLegion27c1,586$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.844658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid65c1,546$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.6580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed GamerLegion35c1,182$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.393040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked GamerLegion34c910.22$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Team Liquid45c850$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.65843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed GamerLegion27c814.4$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9964744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked GamerLegion37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed GamerLegion38c736.84$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed GamerLegion28c604.71$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3260349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Liquid64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.754757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed GamerLegion32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed GamerLegion72c431.53$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31016160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion37c410.46$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.912,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked GamerLegion41c381.79$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d86…ea87backed Team Liquid50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed Team Liquid28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.147642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion37c350$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.677458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed GamerLegion32c312.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.945042%21 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid69c282.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9819552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid48c265$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.648352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed GamerLegion48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed GamerLegion41c256.66$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2337549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid65c234.08$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.771,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed GamerLegion33c233.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7714039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd45c…740bbacked GamerLegion35c217.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed GamerLegion34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6865625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e8…b8f7backed Team Liquid75c186.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.963461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed GamerLegion35c164.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.14951%25 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Team Liquid61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9330534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid59c161.45$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6337018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed GamerLegion34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…a75bbacked GamerLegion36c123.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Liquid64c122.84$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5213061.5%80 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed GamerLegion35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7b06backed Team Liquid69c114.18$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.02757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed GamerLegion35c110.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.818143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Team Liquid67c107.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7913946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed GamerLegion47c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.635137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c3c…0629backed GamerLegion36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3731…405fbacked GamerLegion15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed GamerLegion36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.817149.7%85 W · 86 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a0…0a97backed Team Liquid74c90.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.47540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0225…6e17backed Team Liquid56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc963…4137backed GamerLegion35c85.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Liquid54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3767853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid32c77.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Team Liquid28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4320530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed GamerLegion34c62.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8533743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Team Liquid65c59.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.845457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x936f…7f75backed Team Liquid66c58.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.785350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc8…d266backed Team Liquid66c57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.585844.8%26 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed GamerLegion37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031659.8%189 W · 127 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion33c51.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.892,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed GamerLegion39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e5…f3cfbacked GamerLegion39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked GamerLegion48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed GamerLegion43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.131245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Team Liquid67c32.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.814453.5%77 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed GamerLegion38c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked GamerLegion39c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.961822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked GamerLegion72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014668.5%100 W · 46 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Team Liquid73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked GamerLegion42c25.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.659836.7%36 W · 62 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6082…9d09backed GamerLegion40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed Team Liquid65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.083366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Team Liquid59c20.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5830543%131 W · 174 L+18.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1304…551ebacked Team Liquid70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.76847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.