CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FORZE Reload (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389f383c68bfeb8ae72fc97901ab70021932f15bb4401434f8956a55cd6d3a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof los kogutos, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 24,000$16,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,239.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed los kogutos | 30c | 9,264$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed los kogutos | 30c | 6,995$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.9 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed los kogutos | 30c | 4,950$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed los kogutos | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 1,805$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.43 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed los kogutos | 21c | 1,710$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.92 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed los kogutos | 31c | 1,061$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed los kogutos | 30c | 832$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed los kogutos | 8c | 622.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 583.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed los kogutos | 32c | 550$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked los kogutos | 40c | 446.41$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…7c0fbacked los kogutos | 55c | 445.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked los kogutos | 30c | 432.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed FORZE Reload | 67c | 348.67$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked FORZE Reload | 79c | 303.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…8bbbbacked los kogutos | 40c | 240.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked FORZE Reload | 68c | 212.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed los kogutos | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked los kogutos | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked los kogutos | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed FORZE Reload | 73c | 199.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…cc22backed los kogutos | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed los kogutos | 30c | 173.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked los kogutos | 41c | 169.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…c807backed los kogutos | 45c | 167.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed los kogutos | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed FORZE Reload | 71c | 153.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 151.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed los kogutos | 33c | 148.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked los kogutos | 23c | 141.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked los kogutos | 25c | 140.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed FORZE Reload | 77c | 130.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 68c | 98.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked FORZE Reload | 55c | 93.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed los kogutos | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…e9d2backed los kogutos | 15c | 84.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed los kogutos | 43c | 81.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…6696backed los kogutos | 31c | 81.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked los kogutos | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed los kogutos | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked FORZE Reload | 73c | 74.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…58b4backed los kogutos | 29c | 69.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed FORZE Reload | 36c | 63.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked FORZE Reload | 60c | 58.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed los kogutos | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked los kogutos | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f9…621fbacked FORZE Reload | 67c | 44.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…d60dbacked FORZE Reload | 72c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…20d2backed FORZE Reload | 73c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…c2bcbacked FORZE Reload | 66c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FORZE Reload (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.