Fifa International · resolved market
Will Morocco vs. Tanzania end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf76940c69aa89f2179627e4f8e2467b2e95c4eec882d01b1136107681f1e7bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 8c | 4,462$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.86 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 27c | 4,452$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 27c | 3,235$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 2,368$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 11c | 1,731$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 1,526$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.42 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 74c | 1,388$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,327$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,055$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,008$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 12c | 799.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…f9a2backed Yes | 17c | 719.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…5804backed Yes | 18c | 679.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 28c | 517$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 483.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 11c | 436.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 18c | 434$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 7c | 414.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…cca8backed Yes | 26c | 385.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 24c | 344.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 23c | 264.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 25c | 261.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dc…5ee8backed Yes | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…7ec0backed Yes | 14c | 173.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 7c | 170.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 79c | 161.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 26c | 118.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 12c | 111.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2a49backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 80c | 103.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 77c | 80.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…d674backed Yes | 28c | 72.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…1c47backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…9205backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 25c | 44.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 79c | 33.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morocco vs. Tanzania end in a draw?this page
- Will Morocco win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will Tanzania win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.