TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No48c29,301$14,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,004.696,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c10,657$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.654,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes70c6,841$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.7741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No69c4,785$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.6211162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes48c4,156$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.532850%14 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c4,079$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.341,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.044637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes12c3,000$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.55232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2203655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No10c2,868$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8519743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes30c2,861$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.332846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes67c2,393$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.182850%14 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes48c2,343$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.792259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…fde3backed No1c2,300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes53c2,253$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.6524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No34c2,148$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No73c1,782$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.969859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fa…1780backed Yes70c1,741$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.171450%7 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c1,702$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.9469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1178…d3fabacked Yes78c1,569$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes32c1,564$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.3612345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c1,531$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.776437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes26c1,403$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.8825551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No50c1,364$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.7730666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes72c1,352$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.442373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c1,320$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.3939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f72…8c5cbacked Yes31c1,277$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.42850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c1,229$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.41,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes28c1,214$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.297332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.8522125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes40c1,090$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.541,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c1,049$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.332,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c1,045$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.661,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,013$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.962,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd946…d33abacked Yes79c1,011$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.744936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes79c946.7$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.955759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c933.22$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.981,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…15edbacked Yes68c927.46$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes71c914.25$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes31c858$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.0225648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…1d63backed Yes68c831.92$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes4c814.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.3120931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No74c783.98$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.531,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes30c779.9$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.931637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2310751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No40c755.35$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c742$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.81,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No11c711.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.267429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes32c620.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.063941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No75c561$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0314456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57e1…0354backed Yes21c540.31$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Yes53c500.46$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.431553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1e…c2eabacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca12…1cc0backed Yes4c500$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick24cpaid+442.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes31c483.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8713842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes50c456.62$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.312339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes20c443$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.6282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes26c442.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4426229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb3…ce7cbacked Yes69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7165…bcb8backed Yes68c426.06$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.293100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…aef8backed Yes80c421.36$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a93…5804backed Yes55c398.01$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6219732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88be…2272backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…334cbacked Yes22c376.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Yes67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.132060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No74c368.13$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.429246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes45c366$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes71c353.49$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5110751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed No70c347.98$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.143141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b34…cca8backed Yes72c345.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.48580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes34c335.17$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes27c333.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.332245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes4c333.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9724158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes75c329.13$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.886235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6789…d400backed Yes77c328.42$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.585238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No30c304.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes49c301.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.318251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes27c301$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7333753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No21c285$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.34052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No74c279.3$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.686546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x747c…119cbacked Yes76c276.46$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…9c6dbacked Yes60c274.17$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.811752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+122.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc542…20c5backed Yes26c273.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.39933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes59c270.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.012343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes56c261$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5861441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c259.82$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.361,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes27c254.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5530739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No75c253.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5056…e270backed Yes8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+212%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No42c246.2$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.118853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No74c241.54$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7414147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes57c238.68$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.682867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes55c234.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Yes31c225.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.811070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.