TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6eb3…ce7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+59.9%+$17.43
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.9%+$60.86
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$23.67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.97
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-61%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Connecticut Huskies vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.5%+$5.71
Drake Bulldogs vs. Evansville Acesbacked Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+52.3%+$10.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkovabacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$134.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.2%+$13.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.