NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a3b6a72cb67360355ae39548c2c6315c621e5365ec5db313affbe67d5a9a658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof Dolphins, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,165,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,284,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,165,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 44c | 419,047$183,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,302.51 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Dolphins | 56c | 141,830$79,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,192.13 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Jets | 43c | 70,000$30,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,099.88 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Dolphins | 56c | 60,002$33,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,201 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Dolphins | 56c | 60,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,400 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Dolphins | 57c | 59,234$33,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,470.47 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dolphins | 57c | 59,015$33,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,376.6 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Dolphins | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Jets | 43c | 36,700$15,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,781 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dolphins | 57c | 31,529$17,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,557.31 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Jets | 43c | 30,099$12,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,942.77 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dolphins | 57c | 27,181$15,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,688.6 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 12c | 24,663$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.84 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Jets | 43c | 24,000$10,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,320 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jets | 24c | 22,603$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.86 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jets | 7c | 17,756$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.11 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jets | 10c | 15,660$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.47 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Dolphins | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Dolphins | 57c | 14,000$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jets | 13c | 12,712$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.2 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Dolphins | 57c | 10,351$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.88 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Jets | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dolphins | 56c | 9,457$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.94 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dolphins | 57c | 9,417$5,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.21 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Dolphins | 57c | 8,823$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.15 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Dolphins | 57c | 8,771$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.53 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Dolphins | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Dolphins | 57c | 8,500$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.99 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dolphins | 57c | 8,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Jets | 43c | 7,598$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.58 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Dolphins | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Dolphins | 56c | 6,997$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.47 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Jets | 19c | 6,599$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.09 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Dolphins | 57c | 6,333$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.33 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Dolphins | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…c53fbacked Dolphins | 57c | 5,930$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Jets | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Dolphins | 58c | 4,400$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Jets | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Dolphins | 57c | 4,162$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.66 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Jets | 43c | 3,945$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.35 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Jets | 3c | 3,593$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Dolphins | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Jets | 20c | 3,386$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dolphins | 59c | 3,309$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.4 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Jets | 44c | 3,143$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.12 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Dolphins | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Jets | 16c | 3,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dolphins | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc114…7627backed Jets | 42c | 2,765$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jets | 0c | 2,752$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Jets | 43c | 2,599$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.57 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jets | 4c | 2,553$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jets | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Jets | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Jets | 44c | 2,472$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.55 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…4339backed Jets | 42c | 2,410$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…9d7cbacked Jets | 7c | 2,360$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Dolphins | 58c | 2,352$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jets | 1c | 2,346$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Jets | 12c | 2,329$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Dolphins | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Dolphins | 57c | 2,090$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.14 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Jets | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…7e7fbacked Jets | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…ee44backed Dolphins | 57c | 2,045$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dolphins | 57c | 2,045$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.27 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dolphins | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Jets | 41c | 1,946$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.37 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…a0d2backed Jets | 42c | 1,812$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Dolphins | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jets | 3c | 1,740$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Dolphins | 57c | 1,725$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.93 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dolphins | 63c | 1,719$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.79 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Jets | 42c | 1,705$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dolphins | 77c | 1,635$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.81 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…1639backed Dolphins | 58c | 1,634$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…bcfabacked Dolphins | 58c | 1,630$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Jets | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…ca78backed Dolphins | 57c | 1,591$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…90d4backed Jets | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Dolphins | 57c | 1,574$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.87 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba8…c2cabacked Jets | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Dolphins | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Jets | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7404…e963backed Jets | 42c | 1,485$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…2894backed Jets | 1c | 1,450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…f9dcbacked Jets | 42c | 1,447$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c45dbacked Dolphins | 58c | 1,420$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dolphins | 57c | 1,413$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.59 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…fa67backed Dolphins | 58c | 1,380$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…ef9bbacked Dolphins | 58c | 1,333$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…3bd5backed Dolphins | 58c | 1,332$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…03e1backed Dolphins | 58c | 1,270$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf198…2159backed Jets | 42c | 1,264$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…3f44backed Jets | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…3841backed Jets | 42c | 1,216$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dolphins | 56c | 1,143$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.86 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jets | 9c | 1,131$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dolphins vs. Jetsthis page
- Dolphins vs. Jets: 1H MoneylineDolphins won
- Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 40.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 41.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 42.5Over won
- Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.