NFL · resolved market
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c3b319c1284b02559290a6d370a95f5ba6657bad217ba8d7b7eb6916868f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof Dolphins, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 49c | 244,799$119,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,938.37 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Dolphins | 51c | 137,080$69,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,169.24 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dolphins | 52c | 103,977$53,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,209 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jets | 49c | 41,846$20,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,461.06 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dolphins | 51c | 19,960$10,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.4 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Dolphins | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Dolphins | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Dolphins | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dolphins | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Jets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dolphins | 51c | 3,166$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.12 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jets | 49c | 3,058$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.46 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jets | 48c | 2,195$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.54 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jets | 49c | 2,094$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.06 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Jets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Dolphins | 51c | 2,037$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.47 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Jets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Dolphins | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Jets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Dolphins | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.11 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Dolphins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Jets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Dolphins | 51c | 882.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…4a7ebacked Jets | 49c | 776.31$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Dolphins | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Dolphins | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Dolphins | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Jets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Dolphins | 51c | 611.76$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Jets | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Dolphins | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Dolphins | 50c | 472.02$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Jets | 47c | 432.36$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Jets | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Dolphins | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Jets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Dolphins | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Dolphins | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dolphins | 53c | 236$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Dolphins | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Jets | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Dolphins | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Jets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Jets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dolphins | 50c | 199.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Dolphins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Dolphins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dolphins | 50c | 193.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dolphins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Dolphins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Dolphins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Jets | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Dolphins | 51c | 148$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Dolphins | 51c | 138.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Dolphins | 54c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Jets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dolphins | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ba36backed Jets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Dolphins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Dolphins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Dolphins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30c…614cbacked Dolphins | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…5eaabacked Dolphins | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Dolphins | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Dolphins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…391cbacked Dolphins | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Dolphins | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Dolphins | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Dolphins | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dolphins | 51c | 83.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Dolphins | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Dolphins | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Dolphins | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Dolphins | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Dolphins | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Dolphins | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Dolphins | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Dolphins | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +11.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Dolphins | 51c | 78.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Dolphins | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Dolphins | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Dolphins | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dolphins | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Jets | 42c | 74.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Dolphins | 51c | 70.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Dolphins | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jets | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Jets | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Dolphins | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Dolphins | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Dolphins | 51c | 44.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Dolphins | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Dolphins | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Dolphins | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Jets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Dolphins | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Dolphins | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Dolphins | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)this page
- Dolphins vs. JetsDolphins won
- Dolphins vs. Jets: 1H MoneylineDolphins won
- Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 40.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 41.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 42.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.