Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c2347d212614aee93aa94b056837e6d1e6e050ef31d762531f64efb104c9aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sasnovichof Sasnovich, Blinkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Sasnovich | 60c | 11,148$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Sasnovich | 73c | 10,401$7,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Blinkova | 40c | 9,975$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Blinkova | 0c | 7,343$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Sasnovich | 55c | 3,778$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.5 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Blinkova | 26c | 2,834$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.94 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Blinkova | 55c | 2,236$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.47 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Blinkova | 45c | 2,048$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sasnovich | 62c | 1,834$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Blinkova | 25c | 1,050$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Blinkova | 11c | 736.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sasnovich | 60c | 647.1$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.01 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Blinkova | 45c | 625$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Blinkova | 46c | 584.89$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sasnovich | 49c | 575.74$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Blinkova | 55c | 566.27$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sasnovich | 46c | 566.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blinkova | 34c | 548.74$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.57 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Blinkova | 44c | 500$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Blinkova | 59c | 403.52$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Sasnovich | 78c | 385.49$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Blinkova | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Blinkova | 25c | 365.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Blinkova | 44c | 339.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blinkova | 13c | 331.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blinkova | 34c | 331.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…0431backed Sasnovich | 69c | 274.03$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Sasnovich | 67c | 260.55$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Sasnovich | 57c | 259.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…820ebacked Blinkova | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Blinkova | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Blinkova | 54c | 244$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sasnovich | 72c | 236.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Blinkova | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Blinkova | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Blinkova | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…2d34backed Blinkova | 44c | 170$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blinkova | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Blinkova | 22c | 142.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Blinkova | 14c | 139.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Blinkova | 39c | 137.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blinkova | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Blinkova | 38c | 116.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Blinkova | 65c | 105.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Blinkova | 46c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Blinkova | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Blinkova | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…e3a0backed Sasnovich | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sasnovich | 53c | 96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Blinkova | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Sasnovich | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Blinkova | 40c | 81.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…ce7cbacked Sasnovich | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Blinkova | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Sasnovich | 63c | 51.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…cea2backed Sasnovich | 68c | 50.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Sasnovich | 55c | 46.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Sasnovich | 54c | 43.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…6220backed Blinkova | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Blinkova | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Blinkova | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Sasnovich | 44c | 34.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Sasnovich | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…32b3backed Sasnovich | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Blinkova | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Sasnovich | 63c | 27.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Blinkova | 49c | 26.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…e4a7backed Blinkova | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Blinkova | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96de…eb8bbacked Blinkova | 53c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sasnovich | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Sasnovich | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Sasnovich | 60c | 19.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Sasnovich | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkovathis page
- Sasnovich vs. Blinkova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Sasnovich vs BlinkovaSasnovich won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.