TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b56…d1e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3278.1%25 W · 7 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.89
Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$6.72
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$14.38
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.47
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$5.48
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$17.23
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29%+$34.36
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56%+$9.51
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$12.4
Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$21.24
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$6.62
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$7.89
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$37.34
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$17.03
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$30.21
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$28.98
Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.18
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$28.85
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$11.58
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.2%+$11.26
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$242.4
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+54%+$13.51
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+54%+$7.22
Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$410.43
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+49.2%+$53.09
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.4%+$15.01
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+55.3%+$53.66
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$26.4
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.5%+$6.79
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.1%+$15.45
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.2%+$4.82
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.33
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.04
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+30.1%+$26
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$8.66
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.64
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$172.36
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.9%+$12.5
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+41.5%+$23.21
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.17
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$42.56
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$15.75
Yoon arrested before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$22.83
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.41
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.8
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.83
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.35
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29%+$301.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+103.5%+$11.38
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.29
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$111.67
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$127.33
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+41%+$230.42
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37.6%+$73.77
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$161.16
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.85
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,303.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$18.78
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+30%+$15.86
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$105.15
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.6%+$40.96
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$25.04
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$30.31
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$8.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+30.5%+$182.92
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.4%+$7.02
Penguins vs. Red Wingsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.7%+$6.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$9.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$27.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.