CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a014e72a30cba01574289fddb41c328c81ff8ac9918e7d5b3e4a96db64757eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof GamerLegion, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed GamerLegion | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked NRG | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked NRG | 74c | 1,963$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.79 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 1,118$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.48 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed GamerLegion | 32c | 992.19$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 708.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed NRG | 71c | 527$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed GamerLegion | 37c | 229.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed GamerLegion | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed GamerLegion | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked GamerLegion | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed GamerLegion | 15c | 153.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked GamerLegion | 15c | 151.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 30c | 142.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed GamerLegion | 55c | 112.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed NRG | 45c | 112.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed GamerLegion | 45c | 110.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked NRG | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed GamerLegion | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked GamerLegion | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed NRG | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…c9f5backed NRG | 63c | 80.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed GamerLegion | 35c | 79.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed GamerLegion | 45c | 56.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…9b54backed GamerLegion | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…a74ebacked GamerLegion | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed NRG | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed NRG | 64c | 28.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked NRG | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.