Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a740f0985798a6133ffcc03fed7e7e370bd15666f5fcc7f2a2620dc4515d747

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: South Dakota State Jackrabbitsof Denver Pioneers, South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Resolved: Jan 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,811 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x89f3…dfffbacked Denver Pioneers	17c	5,761$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.72	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Denver Pioneers	17c	4,940$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.51	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	78c	3,374$2,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730.34	158	61.4%97 W · 61 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Denver Pioneers	24c	2,918$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.14	105	11.4%12 W · 93 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	74c	2,223$1,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.61	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	68c	2,185$1,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.36	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Denver Pioneers	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+8.9wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	78c	1,650$1,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.02	244	51.2%125 W · 119 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	75c	1,500$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	77c	1,383$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.98	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Denver Pioneers	26c	1,061$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.86	722	48.8%352 W · 370 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Denver Pioneers	22c	980$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.6	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Denver Pioneers	10c	950.56$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.52	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Denver Pioneers	26c	890.42$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.96	423	27.2%115 W · 308 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	76c	842.32$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.84	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Denver Pioneers	33c	671.6$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.17	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Denver Pioneers	25c	670.04$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.51	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	74c	400.81$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.37	369	42.3%156 W · 213 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Denver Pioneers	4c	399.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Denver Pioneers	10c	388.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Denver Pioneers	23c	373.23$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.84	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Denver Pioneers	22c	370.97$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.61	140	21.4%30 W · 110 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Denver Pioneers	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Denver Pioneers	51c	295$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.25	149	25.5%38 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	77c	255.18$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.71	323	43%139 W · 184 L	-18.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers	13c	253.56$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.95	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Denver Pioneers	23c	246.48$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	71c	222.65$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.78	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Denver Pioneers	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Denver Pioneers	27c	183.73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.07	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Denver Pioneers	28c	177.35$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.11	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Denver Pioneers	25c	154.42$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.05	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Denver Pioneers	34c	153.56$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.86	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Denver Pioneers	24c	125.21$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	536	35.6%191 W · 345 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Denver Pioneers	26c	118.54$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.06	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-13.8wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-88.7%equal weight	28-0.20 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Denver Pioneers	29c	118$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	346	49.1%170 W · 176 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Denver Pioneers	20c	93.19$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	668	31.4%210 W · 458 L	-43.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	76c	83.25$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.98	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	68c	82.98$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.94	459	53.8%247 W · 212 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	75c	81.79$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	76c	71.67$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.34	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	79c	69.57$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.45	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Denver Pioneers	22c	53.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Denver Pioneers	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	614	46.1%283 W · 331 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b56…d1e1backed Denver Pioneers	66c	38.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.72	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	70cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9087…d582backed Denver Pioneers	27c	37.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	1,003	55.3%555 W · 448 L	+46.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	50	48%24 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	75c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	78c	13.31$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.93	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsthis page
Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 160.5Over won
Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 161.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event