NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b2aad260f6b5dea10af0b03d5e4788adf261f0eea9db9616a3581e06bdaef0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Grizzlies, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,342,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,554,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,342,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 33c | 395,230$130,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,355.81 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Grizzlies | 34c | 174,695$58,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,770.46 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 66c | 160,048$106,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,704.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 33c | 156,859$51,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,131.34 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 150,686$51,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,233.41 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Lakers | 67c | 134,274$89,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,767.71 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 67c | 109,558$73,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,154.14 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 67c | 103,077$68,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,381.55 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Lakers | 67c | 93,100$62,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,723 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 66c | 75,244$49,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,318.23 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Grizzlies | 71c | 69,827$49,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,380.61 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Grizzlies | 34c | 48,452$16,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,293.75 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 67c | 47,056$31,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,535.93 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 48c | 42,022$20,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,175.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 56c | 40,948$22,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,863.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 33,647$19,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,758.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 66c | 30,993$20,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,616.69 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Grizzlies | 35c | 30,500$10,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,674.98 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Lakers | 67c | 30,493$20,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,177.4 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 67c | 29,435$19,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,827.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Lakers | 49c | 28,478$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,478.18 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers | 50c | 27,371$13,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,579.5 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Lakers | 66c | 26,392$17,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,985.92 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 66c | 26,092$17,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,896.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies | 24c | 20,980$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.33 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Lakers | 68c | 20,325$13,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,523.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.88 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Lakers | 30c | 19,680$5,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,776.3 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 45c | 18,530$8,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,429.58 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Lakers | 66c | 18,281$12,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.54 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 65c | 17,565$11,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.12 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Lakers | 67c | 17,472$11,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.52 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Lakers | 64c | 17,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 17,000$5,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,929.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 28c | 16,800$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,096 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 16,461$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.32 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Lakers | 75c | 15,947$11,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Lakers | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 15,133$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.32 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers | 67c | 14,584$9,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.49 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Grizzlies | 35c | 14,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Grizzlies | 55c | 13,849$7,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,655.7 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Grizzlies | 34c | 12,964$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Lakers | 67c | 12,719$8,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.61 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Lakers | 28c | 12,487$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,991 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Lakers | 67c | 11,609$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.96 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 65c | 11,501$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.32 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Grizzlies | 38c | 11,196$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.4 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lakers | 65c | 11,060$7,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Lakers | 67c | 10,805$7,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.94 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 44c | 10,777$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.04 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 30c | 10,493$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,360.64 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Lakers | 69c | 10,356$7,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.24 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 37c | 10,305$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,522 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 10,000$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.96 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Grizzlies | 41c | 9,945$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Lakers | 38c | 9,262$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Lakers | 68c | 9,247$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.04 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a9…52f7backed Grizzlies | 62c | 9,180$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,691.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…2a59backed Lakers | 38c | 9,099$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,641.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Lakers | 67c | 8,884$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.67 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Lakers | 66c | 8,669$5,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.6 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Grizzlies | 66c | 8,629$5,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.31 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…b890backed Grizzlies | 64c | 8,305$5,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 67c | 8,300$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…5ec9backed Lakers | 36c | 8,247$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Lakers | 67c | 7,760$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.4 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 39c | 7,606$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.17 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Grizzlies | 55c | 7,388$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.26 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Grizzlies | 41c | 7,372$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.04 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Lakers | 62c | 7,055$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.06 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 6,797$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 6,707$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.54 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Grizzlies | 35c | 6,658$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.22 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 1c | 6,655$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…a137backed Grizzlies | 34c | 6,253$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 67c | 6,239$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Grizzlies | 46c | 6,132$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.79 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Grizzlies | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 44c | 5,962$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Lakers | 51c | 5,909$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.67 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 65c | 5,798$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.18 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Lakers | 55c | 5,708$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.81 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Grizzlies | 72c | 5,696$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.16 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…b60cbacked Lakers | 40c | 5,632$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Lakers | 67c | 5,507$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.46 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…fafcbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 5,500$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 5,278$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.94 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Lakers | 43c | 5,048$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.81 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Grizzlies | 33c | 4,800$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Lakers | 58c | 4,675$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.35 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lakers | 33c | 4,607$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.07 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Lakers | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 66c | 4,531$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 1c | 4,243$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Lakers | 35c | 4,200$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Lakers | 44c | 4,189$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…6806backed Grizzlies | 2c | 4,187$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.